NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	93		Excitement	6.7 [458]		MVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): +7.0%
Chicago Bulls	100		Comeback	1.1 [328]		LVP	Eddy Curry (CHI): -16.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.01	15	56%	0.07	0	0.00	15	87%	0.06
Aaron Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	11	55%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Rodney Rogers	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	5	42%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Kenyon Martin	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	26	52%	-0.04	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.09	-0.04	11	23%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.04	0.09	-0.02	25	46%	0.10	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.04
Jay Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	22	57%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	3	100%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	71%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	13	47%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	9	40%	-0.06	2	-0.10	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.7	24.5	15.7	25.1	2.4	42.7	134.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +44.9%

NJN -2.4%

CHI +17.7%

NJN -9.3%

NJN -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHI	NBA	NJN	CHI	NBA
this game	13.3	15.6	15.5	93.9	100.0	101.6
season	15.0	15.0		101.1	98.3
opponent	15.1	15.9		103.3	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	12.3	14.4	14.4	12.4	13.3
CHI	15.9	16.9	15.6	14.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kerry Kittles	49	52	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.05	4	-11	15	13.8	12.8	0.98	16.3	14.9	1.41
Dikembe Mutombo	45	46	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.05	2	-9	11	13.9	12.8	1.12	16.3	15.0	1.29
Jason Collins	36	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-11	15	11.8	14.2	-2.43	14.5	16.2	-1.73
Kenyon Martin	79	80	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.22	2	-9	11	13.0	14.6	-1.66	15.2	17.1	-1.86
Jason Kidd	83	84	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-11	15	12.9	15.4	-2.45	15.3	17.1	-1.73
Anthony Johnson	16	16	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	4	-15	15.4	12.9	2.45	17.1	15.3	1.73
Aaron Williams	23	23	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.01	-13	6	-19	14.4	13.0	1.39	16.2	15.4	0.79
Rodney Rogers	43	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	3	-13	13.2	13.4	-0.20	16.3	15.1	1.20
Richard Jefferson	71	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-1	-5	13.8	12.1	1.75	15.6	15.6	-0.01
Lucious Harris	50	49	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.24	-11	4	-15	12.8	13.8	-0.98	14.8	16.4	-1.64

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonny Baxter	45	44	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.34	10	-3	13	14.8	16.3	-1.43	12.6	13.9	-1.32
Jay Williams	93	92	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.26	7	0	7	15.7	15.0	0.66	13.4	12.4	0.96
Donyell Marshall	76	75	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	2	3	15.8	14.9	0.97	12.6	15.6	-3.04
Jalen Rose	92	92	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.29	5	2	3	15.4	18.2	-2.87	13.2	14.4	-1.19
Trenton Hassell	73	72	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	3	1	15.1	17.0	-1.85	13.4	13.1	0.24
Fred Hoiberg	30	29	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	6	-5	17.0	15.0	1.94	13.3	13.3	-0.07
Eddie Robinson	12	12	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	3	1	16.7	15.5	1.20	13.2	13.3	-0.18
Tyson Chandler	24	24	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	5	-3	14.9	15.8	-0.97	15.6	12.6	3.04
Eddy Curry	55	55	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.05	-3	10	-13	16.3	14.8	1.43	13.9	12.6	1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.71,0.83,0.69,0.79,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 104, HOU 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.99,1	94.0%
MIA 83, ATL 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.59,0.57,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.97,1	93.8%
ORL 81, ATL 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.69,0.79,0.85,0.92,1	93.7%