NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	104		Excitement	7.5 [298]		MVP	Clyde Drexler (HOU): +17.1%
Houston Rockets	115		Comeback	1.4 [997]		LVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): -12.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	22	60%	0.17	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Brian Evans	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.04	0.02	9	61%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.03	-0.04	27	52%	0.09	2	-0.08	8	100%	0.04
Lucious Harris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0.03	4	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Gatling	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	10	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Don MacLean	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Vaughn	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.05	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	12	32%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.19	0.07	0.08	19	79%	0.25	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.00	11	65%	0.16	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.01	11	68%	0.11	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.03	3	-0.08	9	78%	-0.01
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	8	39%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Willis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	9	43%	-0.05	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.00	15	42%	-0.04	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	1.7	25.3	15.6	25.3	2.4	37.2	135.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +26.9%

HOU +14.6%

HOU +25.0%

NJN -19.2%

HOU +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	HOU	NBA	NJN	HOU	NBA
this game	14.1	15.2	15.6	106.1	116.2	102.5
season	15.6	15.7		104.9	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.2		105.7	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.7	14.0	11.8	16.2	14.1
HOU	13.5	14.2	15.4	18.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	51	51	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-11	11	14.4	13.7	0.77	15.1	15.2	-0.11
Michael Cage	70	68	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.22	5	-16	21	14.8	12.3	2.44	15.5	14.4	1.10
Sherman Douglas	15	17	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-5	-1	19.3	13.1	6.22	19.7	14.2	5.47
Lucious Harris	18	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	-3	-5	14.5	14.0	0.54	18.3	14.5	3.86
Don MacLean	9	10	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-2	-7	13.0	14.2	-1.17	16.7	15.0	1.70
Brian Evans	42	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-4	-3	13.2	14.7	-1.52	14.0	16.1	-2.07
Sam Cassell	89	88	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.18	-2	-9	7	13.6	18.8	-5.19	14.5	20.5	-6.05
David Vaughn	52	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-6	1	13.6	14.6	-0.99	16.1	14.2	1.91
Chris Gatling	61	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	0	-11	14.4	13.5	0.88	14.4	16.7	-2.30
Kerry Kittles	83	84	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.18	-12	1	-13	13.3	18.2	-4.89	14.5	18.9	-4.35

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clyde Drexler	77	76	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-2	15	14.8	16.4	-1.53	13.5	15.9	-2.32
Hakeem Olajuwon	85	84	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.08	15	-4	19	14.3	20.3	-5.96	13.7	16.2	-2.51
Matt Maloney	84	85	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.15	12	-1	13	14.9	16.5	-1.60	13.8	15.6	-1.79
Mario Elie	77	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-1	13	15.1	15.6	-0.54	13.9	14.7	-0.80
Charles Barkley	71	69	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	6	-1	16.2	12.6	3.63	13.3	15.9	-2.56
Kevin Willis	42	43	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	9	-7	15.1	15.2	-0.05	16.0	12.6	3.41
Eddie Johnson	39	38	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.13	-2	13	-15	15.8	14.8	1.03	15.2	13.3	1.83
Brent Price	20	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	13	-15	16.7	14.8	1.98	15.7	13.7	2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, CHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.71,0.83,0.69,0.79,0.97,0.98,1	94.0%
CHH 91, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.88,0.94,0.99,1	93.2%
CHA 101, CLE 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.69,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.84,1	93.2%