NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	111		Excitement	8.4 [216]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +24.9%
Charlotte Bobcats	103		Comeback	2.1 [272]		LVP	Kareem Rush (CHA): -22.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.23,0.25,0.25	0.07	0.19	0.01	21	55%	0.29	2	-0.04	13	77%	0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.00	13	63%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Matt Bonner	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.01	6	75%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	14	59%	0.14	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.06
Rafael Araujo	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.02	0.03	14	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Jalen Rose	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	22%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Jose Calderon	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	5	38%	-0.03	5	-0.12	3	100%	0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.14	0.01	11	73%	0.25	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.01	8	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	8	41%	0.07	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Brevin Knight	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	-0.00	16	57%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	56%	0.00	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.04
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	14	39%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bernard Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	21	32%	-0.21	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	1.8	28.3	14.7	30.2	1.8	33.0	137.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +15.7%

TOR +32.0%

CHA -6.6%

TOR +0.8%

TOR +8.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHA	NBA	TOR	CHA	NBA
this game	15.5	14.3	15.6	115.6	106.2	104.4
season	15.6	14.8		107.3	100.5
opponent	15.4	15.4		104.6	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.2	15.2	16.9	17.4	15.5
CHA	13.4	13.0	15.1	16.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	74	75	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.27	18	-10	28	15.8	14.8	0.94	14.4	14.1	0.22
Mike James	70	72	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.22	16	-8	24	15.2	16.5	-1.37	15.4	11.2	4.19
Morris Peterson	77	77	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	-1	10	16.4	12.2	4.15	14.3	14.4	-0.18
Jose Calderon	84	84	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	6	-4	16.2	10.9	5.29	14.0	16.2	-2.22
Charlie Villanueva	62	61	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	3	2	14.8	16.9	-2.12	14.2	14.5	-0.35
Rafael Araujo	25	26	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	4	0	15.9	15.4	0.46	15.4	13.9	1.47
Jalen Rose	24	24	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	7	-6	13.1	16.4	-3.28	13.6	14.5	-0.91
Joey Graham	33	34	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	12	-16	14.5	16.1	-1.56	13.3	14.8	-1.52
Matt Bonner	31	32	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.02	-11	19	-30	16.3	15.2	1.06	13.6	14.7	-1.11

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	50	50	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.02	4	-12	16	13.6	15.0	-1.42	15.2	15.9	-0.71
Matt Carroll	10	9	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-9	10	12.3	14.5	-2.24	19.8	15.1	4.67
Raymond Felton	28	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-7	6	15.5	13.8	1.62	14.1	16.0	-1.92
Bernard Robinson	21	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.12	-5	-3	-2	13.7	14.5	-0.82	13.9	16.0	-2.16
Keith Bogans	8	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-4	0	13.7	14.4	-0.61	11.3	15.9	-4.59
Gerald Wallace	82	81	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.30	5	-13	18	14.3	14.3	-0.03	16.0	13.3	2.62
Kareem Rush	69	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.24	-1	-7	6	14.7	13.3	1.44	15.5	15.7	-0.19
Primoz Brezec	58	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.14	-6	-2	-4	14.6	13.8	0.77	15.2	16.1	-0.90
Jumaine Jones	48	46	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	-2	-4	14.7	13.9	0.75	16.7	14.5	2.22
Brevin Knight	79	80	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.34	-11	3	-14	13.8	16.3	-2.49	15.9	13.6	2.30
Sean May	32	33	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.23	-16	8	-24	14.7	14.1	0.56	15.2	15.7	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.38,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.28,0.38,0.36,0.1,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 93, LAC 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.25,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.34,0.47,0.36,0.11,0.02,0	91.5%
IND 95, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.32,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.34,0.48,0.63,0.47,0.29,0.53,0.41,0.28,0.22,0.09,0	91.2%
LAC 91, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.34,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.4,0.19,0.45,0.16,0.16,0	90.8%