NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	93		Excitement	6.9 [421]		MVP	Erick Dampier (DAL): +12.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	84		Comeback	1.6 [819]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -25.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Dampier	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.01	10	60%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	-0.02	5	64%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Matt Carroll	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,0,0,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.01	13	52%	0.17	3	-0.18	5	100%	0.05
Quinton Ross	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	19	40%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25	-0.05	-0.16	0.03	19	52%	-0.09	5	-0.16	8	75%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	-0.04	0.05	19	66%	0.10	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	70%	0.07	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.07	-0.13	0.02	11	64%	0.02	1	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.11	-0.01	11	55%	0.01	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	10	41%	-0.01	4	-0.13	2	0%	-0.03
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	3	12%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.6	34.8	15.8	25.2	2.8	29.2	136.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +11.4%

DAL +3.2%

DAL +4.4%

DAL +25.2%

DAL +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAC	NBA	DAL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	15.3	96.9	87.5	106.0
season	15.2	15.5		107.2	101.9
opponent	15.2	15.5		108.5	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.7	13.2	15.6	18.7	15.1
LAC	14.0	12.5	17.9	16.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	68	69	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.18	22	-13	35	15.2	14.7	0.43	15.5	13.6	1.83
Erick Dampier	65	66	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.38	14	-5	19	15.6	13.8	1.79	15.7	13.2	2.49
Shawn Marion	76	74	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.36	9	0	9	15.1	14.9	0.19	15.2	14.0	1.17
Jason Kidd	78	78	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	3	3	15.3	14.2	1.09	15.5	12.6	2.94
Dirk Nowitzki	83	80	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.18	9	0	9	15.3	13.7	1.57	15.6	11.9	3.69
Matt Carroll	12	14	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.06	7	2	5	13.7	15.2	-1.58	13.5	15.2	-1.70
Jose Juan Barea	33	33	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.07	-4	13	-17	14.3	15.4	-1.10	12.9	16.0	-3.06
Kris Humphries	44	46	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.10	-5	14	-19	13.8	16.1	-2.32	12.8	17.0	-4.20
Quinton Ross	21	20	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	0.03	-13	22	-35	15.7	14.9	0.79	14.3	15.1	-0.76

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	1	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.04	-2	-7	5	11.0	15.0	-3.99	6.0	15.2	-9.24
Kareem Rush	12	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-5	1	11.9	15.4	-3.46	11.4	15.5	-4.17
Baron Davis	50	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-6	3	14.8	15.1	-0.31	14.0	16.1	-2.07
Craig Smith	34	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.17	1	-10	11	14.7	15.1	-0.37	17.4	13.8	3.56
DeAndre Jordan	6	6	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	-1	-7	12.2	15.1	-2.97	8.8	15.5	-6.63
Al Thornton	51	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-3	-3	14.7	15.2	-0.52	13.6	16.8	-3.23
Marcus Camby	65	65	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-5	1	15.2	14.5	0.64	14.4	16.4	-2.02
Eric Gordon	78	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-10	11	15.2	13.9	1.30	15.8	11.6	4.21
Rasual Butler	50	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-4	-1	15.7	14.1	1.61	16.6	13.5	3.06
Sebastian Telfair	47	47	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-1	-7	14.9	15.0	-0.06	16.1	14.0	2.07
Chris Kaman	86	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	-2	-5	15.1	13.4	1.73	15.1	14.6	0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.25,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.34,0.47,0.36,0.11,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 83, IND 78	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.16,0	91.9%
OKC 94, MIN 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.47,0.31,0.22,0.03,0.04,0	91.7%
TOR 111, CHA 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.38,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.28,0.38,0.36,0.1,0.01,0	91.5%