NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	91		Excitement	7.4 [345]		MVP	Eric Piatkowski (LAC): +15.9%
San Antonio Spurs	87		Comeback	2.0 [191]		LVP	Antonio Daniels (SAS): -14.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.04	-0.04	8	69%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.12,0.09	-0.00	0.10	0.01	14	47%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
Sean Rooks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	17	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Elton Brand	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	15	58%	0.09	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Earl Boykins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	21	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Darius Miles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	14	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
David Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	9	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	11	54%	0.03	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.04
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.12,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	20	50%	-0.06	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.05
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	8	19%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	0.01	-0.15	0.00	13	56%	0.01	2	-0.15	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.6	25.4	16.4	21.6	2.4	34.9	126.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +62.9%

SAS -12.0%

SAS -13.5%

LAC +15.7%

SAS -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAS	NBA	LAC	SAS	NBA
this game	15.7	16.3	15.6	101.1	96.7	102.3
season	15.9	15.8		103.6	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.4		98.0	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.8	15.8	14.4	15.9	15.7
SAS	17.5	14.2	18.3	15.4	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	80	80	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.46	11	-7	18	15.5	17.0	-1.46	16.7	13.4	3.26
Elton Brand	84	85	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.38	7	-3	10	15.9	13.2	2.71	16.4	14.2	2.22
Jeff McInnis	89	89	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.32	6	-2	8	15.6	25.0	-9.40	16.5	0.0	16.48
Darius Miles	54	55	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	3	-2	16.0	15.2	0.75	16.8	15.5	1.24
Quentin Richardson	61	60	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.34	-1	5	-6	15.2	16.8	-1.66	15.6	17.7	-2.15
Eric Piatkowski	54	54	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	-6	16	16.4	14.6	1.77	17.1	15.1	1.98
Earl Boykins	13	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	8	-12	15.2	15.8	-0.55	12.7	16.8	-4.10
Sean Rooks	15	15	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.06	-10	14	-24	15.1	15.8	-0.68	13.7	16.8	-3.16

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	20	21	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.12	9	-13	22	14.0	16.9	-2.89	16.5	15.5	1.01
Terry Porter	38	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.33	11	-15	26	15.1	17.2	-2.07	15.4	15.9	-0.56
Mark Bryant	16	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	-1	-2	16.1	16.3	-0.21	14.4	16.0	-1.66
Malik Rose	53	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.30	1	-5	6	17.1	15.2	1.89	16.9	14.0	2.93
David Robinson	52	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	4	-12	15.6	17.2	-1.62	15.9	15.4	0.45
Antonio Daniels	62	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.39	1	-5	6	16.0	16.9	-0.91	15.0	17.2	-2.27
Tim Duncan	87	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-1	-2	16.5	11.3	5.14	15.6	17.2	-1.62
Tony Parker	52	51	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	11	-26	17.2	15.1	2.07	15.9	15.4	0.56
Steven Smith	70	69	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.50	-13	9	-22	16.9	14.0	2.89	15.5	16.5	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.34,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.4,0.19,0.45,0.16,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.05,0	91.2%
TOR 111, CHA 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.38,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.28,0.38,0.36,0.1,0.01,0	90.8%
SAS 100, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.57,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.15,0.17,0	90.5%