NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	94		Excitement	7.7 [293]		MVP	Trenton Hassell (CHI): +12.9%
Chicago Bulls	90		Comeback	1.7 [714]		LVP	Jalen Rose (CHI): -26.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miles	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	5	69%	0.09	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.04
Michael Olowokandi	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	23	58%	0.07	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.04
Quentin Richardson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	11	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Doug Overton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	14	57%	0.07	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	14	47%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.10

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.02	14	68%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	10	59%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dalibor Bagaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.06	-0.06	10	32%	0.04	2	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02
Travis Best	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	10	40%	-0.03	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.08,-0.02,-0.11,-0.32,-0.26	-0.26	-0.03	-0.25	-0.02	19	52%	0.05	4	-0.31	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	25.4	15.7	23.3	2.5	35.5	126.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -10.9%

LAC +26.9%

LAC +2.6%

LAC +30.5%

LAC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHI	NBA	LAC	CHI	NBA
this game	16.5	16.0	15.6	105.6	102.3	102.3
season	15.9	15.6		103.6	96.3
opponent	15.6	15.4		105.5	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	18.6	16.6	17.4	13.9	16.5
CHI	14.1	17.7	16.9	15.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	79	77	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.37	5	-1	6	16.7	15.5	1.16	16.1	15.5	0.53
Darius Miles	63	62	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	1	2	15.6	18.8	-3.17	16.7	14.3	2.47
Jeff McInnis	82	81	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	16.4	18.6	-2.22	16.0	15.6	0.48
Elton Brand	81	81	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.32	6	-2	8	16.8	13.4	3.46	15.9	17.1	-1.23
Quentin Richardson	55	54	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.40	3	1	2	15.7	17.8	-2.10	16.4	15.4	1.03
Eric Piatkowski	34	34	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	3	-2	17.8	15.7	2.10	15.4	16.4	-1.03
Doug Overton	9	9	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	5	-6	14.8	16.7	-1.95	14.2	16.2	-1.99
Tremaine Fowlkes	26	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	3	-2	18.8	15.6	3.17	14.3	16.7	-2.47
Sean Rooks	16	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	6	-8	16.2	16.6	-0.42	17.0	15.8	1.21

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	33	34	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.01	6	-10	16	15.5	16.3	-0.89	16.1	16.8	-0.62
Dalibor Bagaric	34	34	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.01	3	-7	10	15.9	16.1	-0.26	17.5	15.9	1.57
Fred Hoiberg	13	13	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-7	10	15.0	16.2	-1.19	15.9	16.6	-0.71
Charles Oakley	27	28	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-5	6	17.2	15.5	1.75	18.5	15.6	2.93
Eddie Robinson	27	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.12	-1	-3	2	17.2	15.5	1.75	17.3	16.2	1.10
Jalen Rose	67	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.30	-3	-1	-2	15.9	16.3	-0.42	16.1	18.0	-1.89
Marcus Fizer	61	61	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	1	-6	15.5	17.2	-1.75	15.6	18.5	-2.93
Trenton Hassell	71	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.34	-6	2	-8	15.6	17.5	-1.88	16.4	17.2	-0.88
Eddy Curry	52	53	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.35	-8	4	-12	16.4	15.5	0.87	16.5	16.6	-0.14
Travis Best	55	55	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.37	-10	6	-16	16.3	15.5	0.89	16.8	16.1	0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 97, PHX 96	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.28,0.43,0.28,0	92.5%
UTA 97, MEM 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.32,0.16,0.22,0.04,0	92.3%
BOS 106, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.53,0.38,0.36,0.15,0.05,0	92.3%