NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	97		Excitement	6.7 [464]		MVP	Vince Carter (MEM): +18.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	91		Comeback	2.2 [169]		LVP	Jon Leuer (MEM): -12.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.18	0.11	0.11	0.04	14	64%	0.22	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.00
Dante Exum	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.06	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	12	66%	0.15	2	-0.09	8	62%	-0.02
Derrick Favors	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.07	0.01	12	50%	0.10	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.04
Trey Burke	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	8	47%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	11	59%	0.10	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	8	35%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Rudy Gobert	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	-0.00	7	75%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jordan Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.05,0.01,0,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.14	-0.05	0.03	22	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	14	45%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.05	0.03	22	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	9	22%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.8	29.2	15.6	21.2	2.4	47.5	139.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +52.5%

UTA +3.3%

UTA +23.5%

MEM -31.4%

UTA +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	16.3	15.9	15.1	109.0	101.1	104.2
season	16.2	15.9		103.8	103.8
opponent	15.2	15.3		100.8	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.9	19.8	17.0	12.5	16.3
MEM	17.4	15.5	15.7	15.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alec Burks	66	67	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-3	12	15.6	18.3	-2.67	15.8	16.2	-0.37
Enes Kanter	55	55	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.38	6	0	6	17.3	14.6	2.79	16.2	15.4	0.86
Trey Burke	49	51	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.28	8	-2	10	15.2	17.6	-2.40	15.7	16.2	-0.54
Gordon Hayward	68	69	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	1	4	15.6	18.6	-3.00	15.7	16.6	-0.94
Derrick Favors	67	68	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.32	2	4	-2	15.6	18.4	-2.83	16.0	15.6	0.41
Rudy Gobert	52	54	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.09	5	1	4	17.2	15.0	2.24	15.9	16.0	-0.12
Rodney Hood	41	40	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	6	-6	15.7	16.8	-1.15	15.6	16.1	-0.45
Dante Exum	39	38	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	8	-10	18.1	14.9	3.15	16.5	15.5	1.04
Joe Ingles	8	8	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	9	-12	21.6	15.8	5.87	15.6	15.9	-0.30

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Adams	18	17	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.06	2	-8	10	14.8	16.2	-1.33	21.0	15.2	5.83
Beno Udrih	37	37	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-9	12	15.8	16.0	-0.15	15.4	16.9	-1.59
Kosta Koufos	59	57	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.17	5	-11	16	16.5	14.8	1.62	18.3	12.7	5.51
Tayshaun Prince	44	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.03	-1	-5	4	16.3	15.5	0.73	17.2	15.5	1.72
Vince Carter	41	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-3	0	15.8	16.0	-0.26	15.6	16.9	-1.34
Jon Leuer	47	46	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.01	-14	8	-22	16.3	15.5	0.74	16.7	15.8	0.95
Marc Gasol	70	70	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.44	-4	-2	-2	15.7	16.7	-1.03	15.5	19.3	-3.86
Courtney Lee	72	72	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.38	-8	2	-10	16.2	14.8	1.33	15.2	21.0	-5.83
Mike Conley	62	62	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.37	-10	4	-14	15.2	17.4	-2.12	15.5	18.1	-2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.32,0.16,0.22,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 106, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.53,0.38,0.36,0.15,0.05,0	92.6%
SEA 117, NYK 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.05,0	92.4%
LAC 94, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.05,0	92.3%