inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 105 Excitement4.6 [913] MVPZydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +13.5%
Toronto Raptors 93 Comeback1.4 [487] LVPJalen Rose (TOR): -10.5%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.090.03-0.02871%0.151-0.015100%0.03
LeBron James0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.080.020.051759%0.071-0.021275%0.01
Donyell Marshall0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.01-0.011155%0.0500.0000%0.00
Damon Jones0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01659%0.041-0.025100%0.03
Sasha Pavlovic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alan Henderson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Wilks0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luke Jackson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.02642%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Eric Snow-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01475%0.034-0.0700%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.050,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.00-0.010.05675%0.044-0.094100%0.01
Larry Hughes-0.090,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.010.041347%-0.033-0.06875%-0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.140.030.061767%0.141-0.02580%0.00
Aaron Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.010.00362%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.050.000.051065%0.052-0.05683%-0.01
Rafael Araujo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Joey Graham0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.00-0.00450%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0110%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.010.01844%-0.0300.0020%-0.04
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.05-0.010.071454%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0100%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Loren Woods0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.0140%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Jalen Rose0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.030.011240%-0.081-0.031155%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.42.631.316.724.22.433.6136.1
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +17.3%
CLE +18.3%
CLE +25.8%
TOR -9.8%
TOR -1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLETORNBACLETORNBA
this game17.414.815.6116.7104.5104.4
season16.215.6105.6107.3
opponent15.415.5110.5103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE15.119.317.518.017.4
TOR14.215.016.013.914.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas54550.490.010.480.0216-42016.918.1-1.2315.813.12.71
Eric Snow57570.430.070.37-0.0918-62418.216.02.2115.613.22.46
Damon Jones52500.360.140.210.1284416.418.8-2.4514.015.7-1.74
Luke Jackson27270.290.210.080.1166016.717.7-1.0514.714.8-0.03
Donyell Marshall46450.290.210.07-0.01102816.618.2-1.6614.115.5-1.41
Larry Hughes67660.250.250.010.0575217.916.01.9414.914.50.39
LeBron James67670.170.33-0.160.17012-1217.617.00.6014.914.30.59
Drew Gooden52520.160.34-0.17-0.0166017.717.00.6515.513.81.72
Alan Henderson21200.060.44-0.370.12-214-1619.716.72.9612.415.4-3.05
Sasha Pavlovic220.000.50-0.500.12-416-209.017.6-8.595.515.0-9.48
Mike Wilks540.000.50-0.500.15-517-2218.017.40.648.515.1-6.56

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Williams10100.03-0.530.56-0.032-141615.614.70.9413.917.8-3.94
Rafael Araujo1112-0.02-0.480.45-0.020-121215.914.61.3113.817.9-4.12
Loren Woods3029-0.10-0.400.30-0.01-3-9615.714.31.3618.416.91.50
Joey Graham2930-0.13-0.370.24-0.130-121214.315.0-0.6216.417.9-1.50
Jalen Rose6866-0.13-0.370.23-0.161-131415.014.10.8817.616.80.83
Mike James6564-0.16-0.340.17-0.284-162014.615.1-0.4917.118.2-1.11
Aaron Williams2021-0.20-0.300.10-0.02-6-6013.715.1-1.3117.417.4-0.02
Charlie Villanueva3232-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.00-9-3-613.715.4-1.6317.917.10.79
Matt Bonner1112-0.30-0.20-0.100.17-164-2014.714.8-0.0415.717.7-1.90
Jose Calderon3033-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.04-10-2-814.514.9-0.3518.117.01.09
Chris Bosh7979-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.06-120-1215.111.83.3417.317.8-0.48
Morris Peterson6062-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.15-11-1-1014.615.1-0.5018.514.93.64


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 91, MIA 860.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.07,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0,094.7%
NOP 119, CHA 1090.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.6%
LAL 99, SAS 750.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.32,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.6%