inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 99 Excitement3.9 [987] MVPShaquille O'Neal (LAL): +9.9%
San Antonio Spurs 75 Comeback1.2 [762] LVPMalik Rose (SAS): -8.9%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0.100,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.03-0.021662%0.141-0.041346%-0.06
Nick Van Exel0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.00-0.021365%0.122-0.0300%0.00
Eddie Jones0.070,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.01-0.001164%0.091-0.02667%-0.02
Corie Blount0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.01-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jon Barry0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario Bennett0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sean Rooks0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01150%0.0000.0020%0.00
Elden Campbell-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00340%-0.0300.00450%-0.02
Rick Fox-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.01-0.00837%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Derek Fisher-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.000100%0.013-0.072100%0.01
Kobe Bryant-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.010.031058%-0.023-0.05683%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaren Jackson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.01650%0.0300.002100%0.01
Willie Burton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Brad Lohaus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Geary0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02940%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Will Perdue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.03425%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.01-0.011045%0.012-0.052100%0.01
Monty Williams0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.03841%-0.022-0.05650%-0.03
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.030.032151%-0.051-0.02944%-0.06
Carl Herrera0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.12-0.01-0.041018%-0.0800.0020%-0.02
Vinny Del Negro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.11-0.00-0.03515%-0.061-0.01367%-0.01
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.12-0.01-0.04923%-0.071-0.02475%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.11.828.315.723.51.830.9128.1
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +56.8%
LAL +3.8%
SAS -6.8%
SAS -5.3%
LAL +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALSASNBALALSASNBA
this game14.317.215.6107.682.4102.5
season14.815.9110.0100.9
opponent15.915.697.2102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL16.011.515.714.214.3
SAS16.817.716.317.917.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal66660.52-0.020.54-0.041951414.114.8-0.7017.715.72.02
Rick Fox69690.450.050.41-0.071861214.015.3-1.3318.014.73.24
Eddie Jones61620.360.140.21-0.171861215.212.62.6016.119.6-3.47
Derek Fisher39410.320.180.150.031014-414.813.90.9017.217.2-0.03
Corie Blount52510.190.31-0.11-0.221410413.415.5-2.1216.917.5-0.60
Kobe Bryant52500.190.31-0.12-0.221410413.415.5-2.1217.217.10.07
Nick Van Exel45420.180.32-0.15-0.03717-1014.214.4-0.2017.417.00.40
Robert Horry28280.170.33-0.160.02519-1415.413.81.5117.617.00.56
Elden Campbell26260.120.38-0.27-0.03519-1415.413.91.5115.517.9-2.36
Jon Barry1090.000.50-0.50-0.15519-1414.514.30.2217.717.10.53
Sean Rooks880.000.50-0.50-0.15519-1412.414.5-2.1116.117.3-1.16
Mario Bennett43-0.000.50-0.50-0.00024-2419.014.14.9123.317.06.36

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Willie Burton910-0.00-0.500.490.20-7-171017.717.10.5314.514.30.22
Will Perdue3535-0.06-0.440.39-0.03-1-232216.417.7-1.2314.914.00.89
Brad Lohaus1920-0.10-0.400.290.28-13-11-218.516.81.6912.714.7-1.99
Reggie Geary3333-0.18-0.320.140.23-14-10-416.817.4-0.5313.614.7-1.04
Carl Herrera3233-0.18-0.320.140.17-12-12016.817.4-0.6313.914.5-0.66
Monty Williams4444-0.24-0.260.03-0.15-3-211817.317.10.2515.713.02.68
Vinny Del Negro5758-0.26-0.24-0.020.03-10-14416.618.1-1.5314.114.7-0.68
Malik Rose3333-0.26-0.24-0.020.21-16-8-818.516.42.0813.714.6-0.95
Jaren Jackson6870-0.34-0.16-0.190.01-12-12017.516.31.1814.114.9-0.79
Avery Johnson4342-0.38-0.12-0.250.01-13-11-216.917.4-0.5315.113.61.50
Tim Duncan8282-0.50-0.00-0.500.06-19-5-1417.117.7-0.5314.314.5-0.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.32,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 106, DET 800.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
NOP 119, CHA 1090.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%
DET 106, WAS 930.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%