NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	106		Excitement	3.8 [1023]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): +12.2%
Washington Wizards	93		Comeback	1.1 [965]		LVP	Andray Blatche (WAS): -7.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.00	0.03	-0.08	18	49%	0.13	2	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Jason Maxiell	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.04	0.02	7	68%	0.11	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	58%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Chauncey Billups	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	9	76%	0.11	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	0.02	0.09	6	86%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	0	100%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	4	25%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	15	52%	0.09	5	-0.10	1	100%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.01	0.06	9	78%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	9	65%	0.08	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	14	61%	0.08	5	-0.07	8	100%	0.03
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.02	0.03	18	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	30%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.02
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	3	12%	-0.05	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.6	30.2	15.7	26.5	1.8	28.3	128.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +32.7%

DET +8.7%

DET +6.6%

DET +0.9%

DET +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	WAS	NBA	DET	WAS	NBA
this game	17.4	15.5	15.4	121.8	105.7	105.7
season	16.8	16.1		108.8	106.8
opponent	15.5	15.8		107.4	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.6	17.0	19.1	17.2	17.4
WAS	16.9	16.5	14.5	14.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	67	68	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.05	19	-6	25	18.1	15.3	2.79	15.9	14.1	1.72
Rasheed Wallace	61	60	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.02	16	-3	19	17.7	17.0	0.69	15.8	14.7	1.12
Jason Maxiell	46	47	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.02	12	1	11	17.3	17.6	-0.35	15.4	15.6	-0.16
Tayshaun Prince	57	57	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	5	3	17.9	16.6	1.24	15.3	15.9	-0.61
Chauncey Billups	53	53	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	7	-1	17.8	16.9	0.98	15.1	16.0	-0.87
Jarvis Hayes	25	26	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	5	3	17.2	17.5	-0.29	16.8	14.9	1.94
Rodney Stuckey	41	42	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	10	-7	16.5	18.3	-1.86	16.4	14.6	1.82
Antonio McDyess	55	57	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	9	-5	18.3	16.1	2.19	16.0	14.5	1.48
Arron Afflalo	13	13	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	15	-17	15.7	17.8	-2.06	11.8	16.1	-4.35
Primoz Brezec	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	13.3	17.8	-4.42	11.5	15.8	-4.27
Amir Johnson	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	13.3	17.8	-4.42	11.5	15.8	-4.27
Walter Herrmann	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	13.6	17.7	-4.08	10.8	15.8	-4.96

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominic McGuire	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-16	19	11.5	15.8	-4.27	13.3	17.8	-4.42
Nick Young	19	20	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-14	15	14.1	15.9	-1.82	16.1	17.8	-1.69
Andray Blatche	31	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.08	-9	-4	-5	15.1	15.7	-0.64	15.7	18.4	-2.65
DeShawn Stevenson	63	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-9	5	15.8	14.6	1.17	17.3	17.8	-0.51
Antonio Daniels	64	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-9	5	15.3	15.9	-0.55	18.4	15.1	3.32
Brendan Haywood	67	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-10	7	15.4	15.7	-0.31	17.9	15.8	2.08
Roger Mason Jr.	30	31	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.14	-19	6	-25	16.0	15.2	0.79	16.7	17.9	-1.20
Antawn Jamison	78	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	1	-15	15.7	13.7	2.01	17.7	15.5	2.18
Caron Butler	82	81	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	3	-19	15.8	11.5	4.27	17.8	13.3	4.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 99, SAS 75	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.32,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
LAC 120, ORL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
UTA 114, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.6%