NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	114		Excitement	4.4 [952]		MVP	CJ Miles (UTA): +8.6%
Denver Nuggets	104		Comeback	1.2 [494]		LVP	Nene (DEN): -11.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	4	80%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.01	0.03	13	63%	0.07	1	-0.00	9	56%	0.01
Deron Williams	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	20	54%	0.15	4	-0.11	8	100%	0.05
Gordan Giricek	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.01	-0.06	13	46%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	8	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	5	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	48%	0.03	2	-0.03	13	77%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dee Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	7	37%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	0.00	0.07	18	65%	0.08	3	-0.02	15	67%	-0.04
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	-0.01	0.08	18	73%	0.15	7	-0.14	13	85%	0.01
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.05	2	83%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.02
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	10	40%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	7	36%	-0.04	4	-0.08	8	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.0	39.6	16.8	31.4	3.5	34.5	156.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +15.8%

UTA +10.8%

UTA +8.7%

UTA +19.2%

DEN -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DEN	NBA	UTA	DEN	NBA
this game	16.8	11.5	15.4	110.7	104.0	104.5
season	15.9	14.0		107.4	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.0		104.5	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.3	15.4	17.0	18.4	16.8
DEN	11.4	11.7	11.8	11.3	11.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	88	86	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.10	11	-1	12	16.8	16.7	0.04	11.5	11.6	-0.13
Rafael Araujo	72	70	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	3	4	16.1	18.4	-2.27	12.1	10.2	1.85
Ronnie Brewer	28	27	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	0	10	14.7	17.5	-2.87	11.6	11.5	0.14
Paul Millsap	59	57	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	4	2	16.0	17.7	-1.72	12.2	10.6	1.58
CJ Miles	29	27	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	3	4	16.6	16.9	-0.30	10.9	11.8	-0.83
Derek Fisher	57	56	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.23	-2	12	-14	17.6	15.7	1.98	11.7	11.3	0.38
Matt Harpring	65	64	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	10	-10	17.2	16.1	1.13	11.6	11.4	0.26
Carlos Boozer	27	27	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	5	0	17.3	16.6	0.72	10.7	11.8	-1.18
Gordan Giricek	46	42	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.22	-2	12	-14	17.3	16.4	0.93	10.7	12.2	-1.49
Jarron Collins	23	24	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	5	0	19.2	16.1	3.15	10.6	11.8	-1.19
Andrei Kirilenko	20	20	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.00	3	7	-4	16.8	16.7	0.10	11.7	11.5	0.21
Dee Brown	1	0	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	10	-10	0.0	16.9	-16.93	0.0	11.5	-11.53

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Linas Kleiza	45	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-6	2	10.9	12.1	-1.17	17.2	16.5	0.70
Reggie Evans	15	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	-2	-6	13.1	11.2	1.89	15.5	17.0	-1.47
Nene	64	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.13	-3	-7	4	11.8	11.0	0.87	16.9	16.5	0.41
Yakhouba Diawara	41	45	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-9	8	11.8	11.3	0.51	16.4	17.0	-0.57
Eduardo Najera	39	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	1	-12	11.5	11.5	-0.03	14.8	18.0	-3.17
Marcus Camby	66	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-5	0	11.2	12.1	-0.89	18.0	14.4	3.63
Allen Iverson	92	93	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-6	2	11.5	11.5	0.03	17.0	14.8	2.18
Steve Blake	62	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.17	-7	-3	-4	12.0	10.7	1.32	16.2	17.6	-1.37
Carmelo Anthony	76	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-3	-4	11.0	13.1	-2.10	16.9	16.2	0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 109, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
MEM 103, PHI 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.23,0.31,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
SEA 103, MIN 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.16,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%