NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	97		Excitement	6.8 [495]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +32.3%
Indiana Pacers	103		Comeback	1.2 [1090]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (IND): -26.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	5	90%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.07	0.03	18	61%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.06
Luke Walton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.07	0.00	5	64%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Caron Butler	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	18	49%	-0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Tierre Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	8	47%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	14	40%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	9	37%	-0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Chris Mihm	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	8	33%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.32	0.32	0.24	0.12	0.05	18	85%	0.39	2	-0.07	10	100%	0.02
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.16	0.16	-0.00	0.17	0.00	11	59%	0.27	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	2	150%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	67%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.13	-0.13	0.00	20	43%	-0.10	5	-0.17	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	3.3	26.4	17.4	23.4	3.7	36.2	138.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +83.0%

LAL -1.6%

IND +2.6%

LAL -40.4%

IND +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	IND	NBA	LAL	IND	NBA
this game	15.5	16.7	15.5	109.0	114.4	104.0
season	15.7	16.8		105.8	101.9
opponent	15.5	15.3		101.6	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.6	15.8	17.7	13.2	15.5
IND	14.4	17.6	17.4	17.4	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Walton	40	41	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.19	13	-19	32	14.3	16.5	-2.24	18.5	15.2	3.30
Brian Cook	6	7	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-1	-4	22.0	15.0	6.96	19.0	16.5	2.53
Jumaine Jones	50	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.37	7	-13	20	14.2	17.2	-2.93	17.2	16.0	1.27
Brian Grant	56	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.33	5	-11	16	13.9	18.3	-4.40	17.6	15.2	2.45
Tierre Brown	23	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-2	-2	17.3	14.9	2.43	19.0	15.9	3.08
Lamar Odom	39	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.06	-10	4	-14	16.2	15.0	1.25	15.5	17.6	-2.13
Chucky Atkins	66	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-4	2	14.9	17.3	-2.43	15.9	19.0	-3.08
Chris Mihm	33	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	5	-16	18.3	13.9	4.40	15.2	17.6	-2.45
Caron Butler	79	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.28	-7	1	-8	15.4	16.3	-0.89	16.5	17.6	-1.05
Kobe Bryant	53	54	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.17	-16	10	-26	16.5	14.0	2.57	15.5	18.4	-2.87

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	71	70	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.30	12	-6	18	16.1	18.6	-2.49	16.2	12.8	3.45
Reggie Miller	65	64	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.15	16	-10	26	16.5	17.2	-0.68	16.1	14.1	1.98
Jeff Foster	72	72	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.31	10	-4	14	16.3	18.1	-1.81	16.1	12.9	3.17
Dale Davis	65	63	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.15	15	-9	24	16.8	16.2	0.65	16.2	13.9	2.24
Anthony Johnson	67	66	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.16	14	-8	22	16.5	17.3	-0.80	16.1	13.7	2.44
Scot Pollard	10	11	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	4	-2	15.7	16.8	-1.09	15.5	15.5	-0.06
James Jones	18	18	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.10	-6	12	-18	17.4	16.5	0.97	13.2	16.1	-2.86
Eddie Gill	23	23	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.16	-8	14	-22	17.3	16.5	0.80	13.7	16.1	-2.44
Fred Jones	27	27	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.08	-10	16	-26	18.2	16.0	2.17	13.3	16.5	-3.22
Austin Croshere	32	31	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.21	-15	21	-36	17.2	16.3	0.91	13.3	16.7	-3.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.64,0.77,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.81,0.84,0.77,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 99, MIA 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.96,0.9,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.93,0.91,1,1	93.3%
CHI 70, CLE 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.89,0.9,0.96,1	92.9%
PHI 98, LAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.82,1	92.7%