NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	109		Excitement	7.0 [448]		MVP	Jalen Rose (TOR): +23.8%
Boston Celtics	110		Comeback	1.6 [862]		LVP	Milt Palacio (TOR): -23.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0.24	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.20	0.08	0.04	16	78%	0.24	0	0.00	13	77%	-0.00
Morris Peterson	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.09	0.00	9	55%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lamond Murray	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.02	0.11	-0.08	0.01	12	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	13	59%	0.05	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.03
Rafael Araujo	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.13	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.01,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	14	38%	-0.10	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.23	-0.02	-0.22	0.00	9	47%	-0.21	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.14	-0.00	9	70%	0.22	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.07
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.06	0.00	14	83%	0.26	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.01	0.03	15	65%	0.07	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	60%	0.05	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	11	54%	0.01	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	5	50%	-0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.8	26.0	16.8	32.4	1.8	31.4	136.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +45.3%

BOS +4.5%

BOS +13.4%

TOR -8.3%

TOR -5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BOS	NBA	TOR	BOS	NBA
this game	16.8	14.1	15.5	118.5	117.0	104.0
season	15.1	14.4		104.8	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.4		104.1	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.3	18.4	17.4	15.4	16.8
BOS	11.3	15.1	13.3	17.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	27	27	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.12	7	-8	15	18.3	16.3	2.00	15.9	13.5	2.39
Lamond Murray	13	14	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-4	7	17.1	16.8	0.27	16.0	13.8	2.17
Milt Palacio	38	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.42	13	-14	27	17.0	16.7	0.30	16.5	12.5	4.04
Rafael Araujo	13	12	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	10	-21	18.3	16.6	1.70	12.8	14.3	-1.51
Donyell Marshall	76	79	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.56	10	-11	21	16.5	18.6	-2.08	14.5	12.3	2.16
Chris Bosh	66	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	9	-19	17.3	15.6	1.72	12.6	18.1	-5.56
Morris Peterson	70	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.32	-8	7	-15	17.0	16.4	0.64	13.4	16.6	-3.20
Jalen Rose	83	85	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.42	-5	4	-9	16.5	20.2	-3.74	14.2	13.8	0.41
Rafer Alston	74	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.46	-4	3	-7	16.1	19.7	-3.57	13.9	15.1	-1.12

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	69	68	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.33	9	-8	17	13.8	15.1	-1.32	16.8	17.0	-0.26
Paul Pierce	74	73	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.37	6	-5	11	13.6	16.0	-2.35	16.6	17.7	-1.12
Tony Allen	39	39	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	-4	9	13.7	14.4	-0.69	17.8	16.2	1.64
Raef LaFrentz	53	53	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	-13	27	12.9	15.7	-2.81	16.6	17.2	-0.53
Antoine Walker	71	68	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	-8	17	13.7	15.6	-1.93	16.5	17.8	-1.28
Ricky Davis	67	64	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.45	-9	10	-19	14.8	12.6	2.18	16.4	18.0	-1.60
Delonte West	26	25	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.35	-8	9	-17	14.5	14.0	0.54	16.5	17.0	-0.45
Marcus Banks	17	16	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	4	-7	17.4	13.4	3.91	16.6	16.9	-0.35
Al Jefferson	22	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.11	-8	9	-17	16.3	13.5	2.83	18.4	16.3	2.06
Mark Blount	32	31	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.15	-10	11	-21	14.8	13.8	1.01	17.7	16.4	1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.83,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 102, POR 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.33,0.59,1	93.0%
GSW 97, MEM 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.86,0.71,0.85,0.84,1	91.6%
LAL 92, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.87,0.79,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.91,0.96,0.85,0.63,0.33,0.58,1	91.4%