NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	102		Excitement	6.9 [461]		MVP	Rafer Alston (TOR): +22.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	105		Comeback	2.1 [738]		LVP	Theo Ratliff (POR): -12.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rafer Alston	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.34,0.34,0.22	0.08	0.15	0.00	16	69%	0.28	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Matt Bonner	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	69%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0,0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.02	17	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Morris Peterson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	10	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pape Sow	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	12	55%	-0.04	2	-0.03	7	71%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	9	22%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.12,-0.02,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	16	54%	0.11	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.11
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	9	75%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	42%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	19	59%	0.09	3	-0.11	8	87%	0.04
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	16	54%	0.03	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	62%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	8	39%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	-0.01	5	50%	-0.07	1	-0.05	4	25%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	29.3	15.8	25.3	1.8	43.0	142.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR -0.3%

POR +25.9%

POR +37.7%

TOR -13.8%

POR +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	POR	NBA	TOR	POR	NBA
this game	15.0	16.5	15.5	110.9	115.4	104.0
season	15.1	15.8		104.8	101.2
opponent	15.6	15.4		105.4	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.8	16.8	14.7	13.9	15.0
POR	17.3	15.2	16.6	16.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Milt Palacio	23	24	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-8	13	14.7	15.1	-0.36	15.5	16.8	-1.38
Lamond Murray	48	47	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.48	17	-20	37	14.2	15.8	-1.59	16.3	16.7	-0.36
Morris Peterson	50	50	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.37	13	-16	29	14.3	15.9	-1.60	16.5	16.5	-0.03
Rafael Araujo	17	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-3	3	14.2	15.2	-1.02	16.3	16.5	-0.19
Pape Sow	4	4	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-1	-1	21.0	14.7	6.26	19.5	16.3	3.17
Matt Bonner	33	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-4	5	14.8	15.1	-0.30	16.3	16.6	-0.26
Loren Woods	30	29	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	11	-25	16.1	14.5	1.67	15.7	16.8	-1.15
Vince Carter	42	41	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.00	-16	13	-29	15.9	14.3	1.60	16.5	16.5	0.03
Chris Bosh	81	80	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	14.9	15.9	-1.02	16.6	15.2	1.47
Jalen Rose	63	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.30	-8	5	-13	15.2	14.7	0.47	16.7	16.0	0.64
Rafer Alston	69	67	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.35	-8	5	-13	15.1	14.7	0.36	16.8	15.5	1.38

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	75	76	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.16	19	-16	35	16.5	16.4	0.04	15.4	12.9	2.51
Derek Anderson	73	74	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.27	14	-11	25	16.5	16.2	0.38	15.3	13.9	1.33
Damon Stoudamire	69	71	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.32	12	-9	21	16.2	17.4	-1.24	15.0	15.0	0.01
Theo Ratliff	54	55	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.04	17	-14	31	16.7	16.1	0.61	15.3	14.6	0.70
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	66	67	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	6	-9	16.1	17.4	-1.28	14.8	15.5	-0.70
Darius Miles	41	41	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.43	-10	13	-23	17.0	16.0	1.00	14.5	15.4	-0.90
Ruben Patterson	27	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.26	-10	13	-23	15.3	17.0	-1.73	15.1	15.0	0.15
Nick Van Exel	40	41	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.35	-14	17	-31	16.6	16.3	0.32	14.1	15.7	-1.60
Joel Przybilla	10	10	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.08	-10	13	-23	19.2	16.1	3.06	14.6	15.1	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.33,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 109, BOS 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.83,0.45,0.58,1	93.0%
WAS 101, CHH 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.61,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.92,0.92,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.66,0.41,1	91.7%
PHI 95, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.72,0.33,0.59,1	90.5%