NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	95		Excitement	7.7 [330]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): +14.4%
Detroit Pistons	99		Comeback	10.7 [160]		LVP	Kenny Thomas (PHI): -19.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.12	0.07	0.06	-0.00	6	73%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.07
Andre Iguodala	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.02	-0.08	0.10	-0.01	11	42%	0.13	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	6	71%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
John Salmons	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	9	61%	0.03	3	-0.11	5	80%	0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	26	44%	-0.13	1	-0.03	11	64%	0.02
Kenny Thomas	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.19	-0.07	-0.14	-0.02	15	47%	-0.09	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.04

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.14	0.14	-0.03	0.16	-0.01	8	50%	0.18	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,0.1	0.10	-0.02	0.12	0.01	14	54%	0.16	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.04
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.15,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.08	-0.00	9	57%	0.23	2	-0.16	3	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	6	79%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Goldwire	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	15	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.03
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	17	66%	0.16	7	-0.17	4	75%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.09	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.6	28.2	17.7	26.2	2.6	38.0	138.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +89.0%

PHI -20.5%

PHI -1.5%

PHI -15.1%

PHI -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	13.6	17.6	15.5	102.2	107.6	104.0
season	13.9	16.7		101.1	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.8		98.9	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.9	12.3	13.8	14.3	13.6
DET	15.4	18.5	19.8	17.0	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	37	36	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.25	10	-14	24	12.7	14.1	-1.38	19.3	16.5	2.85
Corliss Williamson	40	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-1	-2	14.3	13.0	1.30	16.9	18.1	-1.24
John Salmons	40	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	4	-12	14.8	12.6	2.13	17.6	17.6	0.09
Marc Jackson	45	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-7	10	13.0	14.1	-1.17	19.2	16.0	3.18
Kenny Thomas	72	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.38	2	-6	8	13.4	14.0	-0.51	18.3	15.0	3.26
Brian Skinner	37	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	8	-20	13.1	13.8	-0.70	15.6	18.9	-3.36
Allen Iverson	84	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.45	3	-7	10	13.3	15.8	-2.46	18.0	13.5	4.49
Andre Iguodala	73	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	1	-6	14.2	11.0	3.20	17.2	19.0	-1.76
Kyle Korver	37	38	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	6	-16	12.8	14.0	-1.20	15.2	19.3	-4.11

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	45	46	1.07	-0.57	1.65	0.69	13	-9	22	16.7	18.5	-1.82	14.2	13.0	1.22
Ben Wallace	75	75	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	0	4	18.2	15.1	3.04	13.4	14.4	-1.03
Chauncey Billups	63	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	0	4	18.2	16.2	2.03	14.2	11.9	2.35
Tayshaun Prince	72	72	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.32	4	0	4	17.7	17.1	0.57	13.7	13.2	0.41
Richard Hamilton	81	83	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	2	0	17.4	18.9	-1.49	13.4	14.5	-1.05
Lindsey Hunter	39	37	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	6	-8	16.4	18.5	-2.06	13.3	13.7	-0.39
Ronald Dupree	13	13	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	2	0	16.5	17.8	-1.32	12.6	13.7	-1.10
Anthony Goldwire	8	8	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.00	2	2	0	20.9	17.3	3.59	10.9	13.8	-2.94
Antonio McDyess	64	65	-0.56	1.06	-1.63	-0.30	-9	13	-22	17.6	17.6	-0.01	13.4	14.0	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.72,0.33,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 83, SAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.81,0.57,0.29,1	92.2%
ATL 87, MIL 88	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.85,0.73,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.55,0.74,1	91.8%
UTA 81, DAL 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.81,0.61,0.74,0.78,0.55,0.73,1	91.7%