NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	83		Excitement	7.6 [309]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (PHX): +26.6%
Sacramento Kings	85		Comeback	2.5 [398]		LVP	Markieff Morris (PHX): -43.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0.04,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.12	0.15	0.00	17	60%	0.27	0	0.00	9	78%	0.05
Brandan Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
PJ Tucker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	39%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	8	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	3	67%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	12	35%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Goran Dragic	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	13	46%	-0.02	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Markieff Morris	-0.44	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.11,-0.44	-0.23	-0.23	-0.02	20	19%	-0.24	2	-0.20	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.29,0.26	0.26	-0.06	0.32	0.01	25	52%	0.45	6	-0.19	4	50%	-0.03
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	0.00	5	67%	0.14	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.03
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	10	41%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	-0.12	-0.01	12	50%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.7	27.2	15.7	27.0	1.8	35.3	132.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +74.9%

PHX -6.3%

PHX -5.0%

PHX -16.9%

SAC +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	13.8	15.9	15.1	84.7	88.5	104.2
season	14.4	14.9		103.7	103.7
opponent	14.8	15.0		107.6	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.8	13.4	13.9	12.9	13.8
SAC	13.4	15.4	16.1	19.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
TJ Warren	28	27	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.17	13	-15	28	11.6	14.7	-3.10	17.1	15.5	1.60
Miles Plumlee	46	47	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.44	13	-15	28	12.9	14.6	-1.64	18.1	13.9	4.19
Gerald Green	46	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-3	4	13.9	13.7	0.20	16.0	15.9	0.06
Isaiah Thomas	77	76	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.47	9	-11	20	13.8	13.9	-0.09	16.6	13.4	3.19
Brandan Wright	33	32	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	5	-12	14.6	13.4	1.28	15.2	16.3	-1.02
Markieff Morris	73	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	1	-4	13.4	14.8	-1.36	15.9	16.0	-0.15
PJ Tucker	67	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	0	-2	14.4	12.5	1.86	15.9	16.0	-0.11
Marcus Morris	47	44	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.07	-20	18	-38	15.1	12.6	2.46	13.5	17.9	-4.40
Goran Dragic	73	70	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.25	-14	12	-26	13.7	13.9	-0.18	15.2	17.9	-2.74

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben McLemore	76	78	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.34	10	-8	18	15.4	17.7	-2.30	14.0	13.0	0.99
Ramon Sessions	65	67	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.27	8	-6	14	15.2	17.5	-2.35	13.7	14.0	-0.27
DeMarcus Cousins	75	75	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	0	2	15.8	16.3	-0.46	13.5	14.6	-1.02
Nik Stauskas	20	20	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.48	-6	8	-14	17.7	15.4	2.30	12.3	14.2	-1.80
Derrick Williams	54	58	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.46	-6	8	-14	16.6	15.1	1.48	13.9	13.5	0.40
Omri Casspi	42	41	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	-6	14	15.1	16.6	-1.48	13.5	14.0	-0.43
Reggie Evans	25	26	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	0	2	16.7	15.7	1.02	14.7	13.5	1.23
Ray McCallum	32	32	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.34	-6	8	-14	17.0	15.4	1.66	13.9	13.7	0.23
Carl Landry	31	31	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	2	-2	16.0	15.9	0.06	14.2	13.6	0.64
Jason Thompson	60	62	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.28	-2	4	-6	15.9	15.9	0.06	13.7	13.9	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.81,0.57,0.29,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 95, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.72,0.33,0.59,1	92.2%
NOP 87, CHA 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.81,0.63,0.69,0.42,1	91.7%
WAS 112, DET 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.62,0.77,0.45,0.42,1	91.4%