NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	92		Excitement	7.7 [315]		MVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): +24.8%
Toronto Raptors	96		Comeback	2.1 [606]		LVP	T.J. Ford (TOR): -23.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Evans	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.24	0.16	0.09	0.01	11	79%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Smush Parker	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.00	14	60%	0.19	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	12	61%	0.13	5	-0.13	4	75%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.12,0.01,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	23	50%	0.05	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Brian Cook	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.07	0.05	-0.12	-0.00	4	70%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.07	0.18	0.00	5	83%	0.29	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.13	0.01	16	69%	0.31	4	-0.10	10	50%	-0.03
Anthony Parker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	10	72%	0.14	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.04
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.02	7	87%	0.20	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	43%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	11	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jorge Garbajosa	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	9	32%	0.04	1	-0.11	4	50%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.11	-0.11	0.01	10	30%	-0.15	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	3.4	28.3	19.0	24.6	2.8	38.0	138.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +58.8%

LAL -11.9%

LAL -4.7%

TOR +2.9%

TOR +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	TOR	NBA	LAL	TOR	NBA
this game	16.2	14.4	15.4	97.9	102.1	104.5
season	15.3	15.2		106.3	104.7
opponent	15.4	14.9		104.1	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.9	16.2	17.5	15.4	16.2
TOR	13.4	15.1	14.0	15.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	54	53	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.12	12	-16	28	15.9	16.6	-0.63	15.2	13.4	1.79
Brian Cook	33	33	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.21	11	-15	26	15.4	16.7	-1.26	15.0	14.1	0.89
Kobe Bryant	84	84	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.44	9	-13	22	16.0	18.1	-2.11	14.4	14.7	-0.31
Sasha Vujacic	20	19	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.04	-5	1	-6	15.6	16.4	-0.78	16.3	14.0	2.30
Maurice Evans	56	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.32	3	-7	10	16.3	16.1	0.27	14.9	13.8	1.09
Andrew Bynum	38	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	3	-10	16.1	16.3	-0.27	13.8	14.9	-1.09
Jordan Farmar	19	18	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	5	-14	18.6	15.6	2.97	14.1	14.5	-0.46
Vladimir Radmanovic	25	26	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	6	-16	15.8	16.4	-0.56	13.6	14.7	-1.17
Smush Parker	65	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-1	-2	16.0	16.7	-0.69	14.0	15.4	-1.33
Lamar Odom	76	76	-1.06	0.56	-1.61	-0.44	-21	17	-38	16.9	13.3	3.56	13.9	16.6	-2.63

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jorge Garbajosa	74	74	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.46	11	-7	18	14.3	14.9	-0.67	16.3	15.7	0.59
Anthony Parker	71	69	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.28	10	-6	16	13.7	16.7	-2.95	16.3	16.1	0.18
Chris Bosh	82	82	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	2	0	14.2	15.7	-1.52	16.3	15.8	0.43
Jose Calderon	38	38	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.13	8	-4	12	15.3	13.8	1.54	16.8	15.8	0.92
Morris Peterson	54	56	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.32	-3	7	-10	14.9	13.8	1.09	16.3	16.1	0.27
Rasho Nesterovic	32	32	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	-2	8	13.7	14.8	-1.12	15.6	16.5	-0.99
T.J. Ford	56	56	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	7	-10	13.8	15.3	-1.54	15.8	16.8	-0.92
Andrea Bargnani	47	46	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	9	-14	15.1	13.7	1.45	16.3	16.2	0.09
Joey Graham	16	17	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	10	-16	17.1	13.9	3.18	15.9	16.3	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.87,0.79,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.91,0.96,0.85,0.63,0.33,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 102, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.45,0.57,1	92.4%
ATL 98, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.81,0.71,0.55,0.73,1	92.2%
TOR 109, BOS 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.83,0.45,0.58,1	91.4%