NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	88		Excitement	9.2 [124]		MVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): +48.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	89		Comeback	10.0 [164]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -41.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.11	0.00	4	109%	0.25	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.08
Stephen Jackson	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	15	65%	0.09	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.18
Austin Croshere	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	60%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Jeff Foster	-0.18	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18	-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	5	44%	-0.14	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Reggie Miller	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	8	47%	-0.00	4	-0.22	3	67%	-0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.41	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.41	-0.06	-0.34	0.01	19	47%	-0.35	2	-0.06	7	71%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.49	0.49	0.13	0.35	-0.00	9	94%	0.54	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	5	30%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.12	0.01	10	50%	-0.05	1	-0.09	4	50%	-0.09
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.27,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	24	45%	-0.03	3	-0.20	12	92%	0.08
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.24	-0.24	-0.05	-0.19	0.00	6	64%	-0.08	4	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	29.6	15.8	26.6	1.8	36.8	139.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +50.2%

PHI +6.2%

PHI +16.1%

IND -18.1%

IND -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	17.1	15.3	15.5	98.9	100.0	104.0
season	16.8	13.9		101.9	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.5		101.9	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.0	17.2	16.7	18.5	17.1
PHI	15.3	15.5	15.3	15.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	54	58	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.00	-1	0	-1	16.9	17.3	-0.45	15.6	14.8	0.79
Eddie Gill	18	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	0	-1	17.3	17.0	0.26	13.2	15.8	-2.54
Jamaal Tinsley	15	17	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	3	-7	16.0	17.3	-1.28	16.4	15.0	1.38
Scot Pollard	40	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	2	-5	18.5	15.9	2.60	15.8	14.8	1.01
Jermaine O'Neal	74	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.38	5	-6	11	16.8	18.3	-1.52	15.4	14.5	0.91
Austin Croshere	15	15	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	5	-11	18.3	16.8	1.52	14.5	15.4	-0.91
Anthony Johnson	47	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.40	1	-2	3	16.6	17.6	-0.95	15.7	14.9	0.80
Jeff Foster	49	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.45	2	-3	5	15.9	18.5	-2.60	14.8	15.8	-1.01
Fred Jones	57	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.52	2	-3	5	17.5	16.4	1.08	15.2	15.4	-0.16
Stephen Jackson	76	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.48	0	-1	1	17.3	15.5	1.88	15.1	16.3	-1.17

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	83	82	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.48	3	-2	5	15.2	16.5	-1.30	16.8	20.0	-3.18
Kyle Korver	62	62	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.48	2	-1	3	15.3	15.4	-0.11	17.1	17.1	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	67	68	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.51	0	1	-1	15.4	15.0	0.33	17.1	17.0	0.03
Kenny Thomas	50	50	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.41	2	-1	3	15.1	15.5	-0.44	17.0	17.2	-0.25
John Salmons	52	53	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.52	-5	6	-11	14.7	16.2	-1.54	16.7	17.7	-1.01
Andre Iguodala	50	49	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	-3	7	16.1	14.2	1.93	17.6	16.4	1.26
Corliss Williamson	39	39	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.06	-1	2	-3	15.5	15.1	0.44	17.2	17.0	0.25
Marc Jackson	22	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.03	1	0	1	15.0	15.4	-0.33	17.0	17.1	-0.03
Aaron McKie	20	21	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.02	-1	2	-3	15.3	15.3	0.01	17.8	16.9	0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.47,0.46,0.57,0.09,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 71, LAL 72	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.43,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.72,0.32,0.26,1	90.9%
DET 79, MIN 80	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.47,0.71,0.55,0.42,1	90.3%
DEN 106, MEM 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.37,0.22,0.27,1	90.0%