inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 71 Excitement9.9 [62] MVPKareem Rush (LAL): +16.7%
Los Angeles Lakers 72 Comeback4.0 [411] LVPJim Jackson (HOU): -52.2%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Maurice Taylor0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.130.050.080.00765%0.1300.003100%0.03
Mark Jackson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Bostjan Nachbar-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Scott Padgett-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.00337%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Kelvin Cato-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.00740%-0.021-0.0310%-0.02
Steve Francis-0.110,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.150.03-0.021450%0.077-0.18862%0.03
Yao Ming-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.06-0.060.001142%-0.052-0.082100%0.01
Cuttino Mobley-0.390,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.39,-0.39-0.17-0.22-0.011338%-0.087-0.3100%0.00
Jim Jackson-0.520,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.52-0.14-0.380.001929%-0.472-0.0500%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kareem Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.060.100.003100%0.1700.0000%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.07-0.00283%0.111-0.032100%0.03
Slava Medvedenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.020.00450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.010.00275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Gary Payton0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.030.021050%-0.012-0.072100%0.01
Rick Fox0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.09-0.04-0.0130%-0.072-0.0600%0.00
Karl Malone0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.29,-0.29-0.29-0.21-0.11-0.021423%-0.184-0.11250%-0.01
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.15,-0.24,-0.4-0.40-0.12-0.29-0.001935%-0.4000.00887%0.06
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.44,-0.59,-0.47-0.47-0.21-0.26-0.011742%-0.295-0.181429%-0.45
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.53.633.018.428.83.742.3158.4
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +15.0%
HOU -11.6%
LAL +17.6%
LAL +26.6%
LAL +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOULALNBAHOULALNBA
this game16.615.615.778.980.9100.5
season16.515.498.8102.8
opponent15.615.699.097.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU15.517.316.416.916.6
LAL17.213.215.616.615.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelvin Cato48470.22-0.720.940.017-81516.716.40.2816.514.61.94
Scott Padgett860.02-0.520.53-0.042-3519.116.32.8217.315.51.84
Bostjan Nachbar89-0.05-0.450.41-0.02-10-114.916.7-1.8412.116.0-3.90
Yao Ming7170-0.22-0.280.06-0.07-54-916.516.6-0.0316.213.62.59
Mark Jackson1010-0.22-0.280.06-0.02-76-1320.216.14.1015.515.6-0.13
Steve Francis8382-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.474-5916.121.6-5.4415.516.4-0.88
Cuttino Mobley8281-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.420-1116.714.91.8415.813.91.92
Jim Jackson8786-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.481-2316.517.0-0.4615.712.03.74
Maurice Taylor3032-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.490-1116.216.7-0.5816.115.40.74
Clar. Weatherspoon2322-0.540.04-0.58-0.36-65-1115.916.8-0.8611.417.0-5.65

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kareem Rush39380.57-0.070.640.5410116.614.81.8216.516.6-0.05
Shaquille O'Neal83850.54-0.040.570.424-3715.616.0-0.4116.812.64.19
Karl Malone73730.51-0.010.530.5101-115.814.80.9816.019.1-3.16
Kobe Bryant80820.490.010.480.432-1315.219.7-4.5016.913.13.77
Derek Fisher23240.310.190.110.194-3716.515.31.1618.215.92.31
Gary Payton65650.190.31-0.120.31-45-915.515.8-0.2916.018.1-2.17
Luke Walton670.110.39-0.29-0.014-3713.315.8-2.4519.416.33.12
Rick Fox3838-0.030.53-0.550.00-12-316.714.81.8616.316.7-0.37
Devean George2324-0.030.53-0.55-0.0610112.516.7-4.2316.016.7-0.70
Slava Medvedenko1514-0.160.66-0.820.02-67-1316.715.41.3416.316.6-0.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.43,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.72,0.32,0.26,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 88, PHI 890.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.47,0.46,0.57,0.09,190.9%
CHI 89, IND 920.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.56,0.44,0.3,0.39,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.46,0.55,0.42,190.2%
PHX 104, MIN 1080.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.59,0.71,0.61,0.81,0.64,0.56,0.58,190.2%