NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	104		Excitement	7.8 [269]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +42.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Comeback	2.3 [795]		LVP	Joe Smith (MIN): -12.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.22	-0.03	0.22	-0.03	19	48%	0.29	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.02	10	74%	0.12	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Anfernee Hardaway	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	7	80%	0.22	1	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	15	68%	0.19	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.06
Joe Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Majerle	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alton Ford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Milt Palacio	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.09	0.02	-0.10	0.00	11	55%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.42	0.42	0.17	0.25	0.00	20	70%	0.42	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.10	0.00	9	86%	0.27	1	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13	0.13	-0.00	0.14	0.00	10	68%	0.23	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.11
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	12	66%	0.12	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Loren Woods	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.11	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	31.9	16.0	23.2	1.4	29.4	128.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +7.6%

MIN +20.4%

MIN +23.6%

PHX -0.8%

PHX -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	17.0	15.5	15.6	118.2	121.3	102.3
season	15.1	15.0		101.0	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.8		103.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	19.6	15.3	16.3	17.2	17.0
MIN	15.4	13.5	16.5	17.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alton Ford	6	8	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.02	4	-8	12	13.8	17.3	-3.45	14.2	15.6	-1.38
Jake Voskuhl	44	44	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-6	8	17.1	17.0	0.05	16.6	14.4	2.15
Bo Outlaw	44	43	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.13	-6	2	-8	17.8	16.3	1.50	15.9	15.1	0.78
Milt Palacio	20	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	2	-8	19.1	16.4	2.72	15.6	15.5	0.09
Anfernee Hardaway	47	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.54	12	-16	28	15.4	18.9	-3.43	16.0	15.0	0.98
Joe Johnson	42	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	9	-22	18.6	15.6	3.06	14.6	16.3	-1.68
Stephon Marbury	68	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.37	2	-6	8	16.4	19.1	-2.72	15.5	15.6	-0.09
Jake Tsakalidis	44	45	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.34	-6	2	-8	17.0	17.1	-0.05	14.4	16.6	-2.15
Shawn Marion	83	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.39	-5	1	-6	17.3	12.4	4.93	15.9	9.5	6.44
Dan Majerle	42	43	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.43	-4	0	-4	16.4	17.7	-1.32	14.9	16.1	-1.25

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	78	78	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.40	15	-11	26	15.2	18.0	-2.85	17.7	11.7	6.03
Chauncey Billups	57	57	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.40	10	-6	16	15.8	14.9	0.89	17.9	15.4	2.56
Wally Szczerbiak	61	61	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.40	10	-6	16	15.5	15.5	-0.04	17.9	15.2	2.63
Joe Smith	34	33	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.45	-8	12	-20	17.8	14.1	3.66	15.8	17.8	-1.92
Anthony Peeler	46	43	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	7	-10	14.1	17.0	-2.98	14.9	19.1	-4.27
Gary Trent	31	30	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.17	0	4	-4	16.4	15.0	1.35	17.6	16.8	0.79
Rasho Nesterovic	45	45	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.21	9	-5	14	15.8	15.2	0.69	17.8	16.2	1.64
Sam Mitchell	40	41	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.13	6	-2	8	15.8	15.2	0.63	17.9	16.3	1.60
Felipe Lopez	15	14	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.11	-7	11	-18	12.4	16.1	-3.74	13.6	17.7	-4.05
Loren Woods	6	7	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	10	-16	16.8	15.4	1.42	15.9	17.1	-1.29
Robert Pack	32	31	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.02	-6	10	-16	14.9	15.8	-0.89	15.4	17.9	-2.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.59,0.71,0.61,0.81,0.64,0.56,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 100, UTA 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.48,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.79,0.8,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.37,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.57,0.77,1	91.7%
HOU 110, MIN 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.76,0.85,0.57,0.85,1	91.4%
LAC 92, UTA 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.6,0.46,0.68,0.54,0.55,0.73,1	91.1%