NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	100		Excitement	7.9 [241]		MVP	Jeff Hornacek (UTA): +22.0%
Utah Jazz	105		Comeback	2.9 [480]		LVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): -19.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ron Harper	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.07	0.00	8	69%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0	-0.00	0.02	0.02	13	57%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.05
Dickey Simpkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	47%	0.03	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Caffey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.17	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	10	33%	-0.11	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Michael Jordan	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.08,0,-0.08,-0.17,-0.19	0.07	-0.25	0.02	32	58%	-0.09	2	-0.11	12	83%	0.09

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.12	-0.01	9	69%	0.22	0	0.00	8	100%	0.15
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.14	0.01	28	55%	0.20	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.06
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.01	0.01	9	85%	0.15	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.05	0.01	10	60%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	3	75%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	62%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	0.00	3	67%	-0.00	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	7	31%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	27.2	14.8	29.5	1.8	35.1	136.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +70.4%

CHI -8.4%

CHI -13.8%

UTA +4.5%

CHI -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	UTA	NBA	CHI	UTA	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.6	112.4	115.4	104.4
season	15.5	15.6		110.5	110.8
opponent	16.0	16.1		102.2	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.7	16.1	17.1	16.2	16.2
UTA	15.7	14.6	18.0	15.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bill Wennington	16	17	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-8	11	18.4	15.7	2.70	15.2	15.9	-0.74
Jason Caffey	11	12	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.03	4	-9	13	12.3	16.8	-4.51	14.2	16.0	-1.86
Toni Kukoc	41	43	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-6	7	15.0	17.2	-2.18	12.7	18.5	-5.80
Jud Buechler	0	1	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-7	9	0.0	16.2	-16.22	0.0	16.0	-15.96
Dickey Simpkins	5	4	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-5	5	9.0	16.7	-7.65	15.2	15.8	-0.55
Steve Kerr	51	54	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.25	8	-13	21	16.1	16.4	-0.30	14.6	17.5	-2.92
Scottie Pippen	80	82	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.32	2	-7	9	16.2	16.3	-0.12	15.9	14.8	1.11
Dennis Rodman	63	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.24	-9	4	-13	16.9	14.6	2.33	17.2	12.6	4.63
Michael Jordan	75	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.37	-7	2	-9	15.5	19.9	-4.40	15.5	17.1	-1.54
Luc Longley	53	53	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.32	-12	7	-19	16.7	15.6	1.12	17.2	13.8	3.46
Ron Harper	50	50	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.20	-17	12	-29	17.9	14.1	3.87	17.5	13.7	3.86

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	80	79	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.38	16	-11	27	15.6	16.7	-1.08	16.0	17.8	-1.77
Greg Ostertag	55	56	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.42	11	-6	17	16.9	14.0	2.90	16.8	15.2	1.61
John Stockton	75	74	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.43	6	-1	7	15.9	15.3	0.57	16.3	15.9	0.35
Jeff Hornacek	52	52	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.25	12	-7	19	15.8	15.8	-0.03	15.2	17.7	-2.53
Bryon Russell	65	63	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	2	1	15.9	15.5	0.39	15.7	17.5	-1.86
Chris Morris	31	30	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	5	-5	15.5	15.9	-0.40	17.2	15.7	1.47
Shandon Anderson	42	40	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	4	-3	14.7	16.7	-1.94	17.5	15.2	2.27
Adam Keefe	36	33	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.04	-7	12	-19	14.0	16.9	-2.90	15.2	16.8	-1.61
Howard Eisley	8	8	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.05	-7	12	-19	20.5	15.3	5.17	16.9	16.2	0.71
Antoine Carr	11	10	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.05	-10	15	-25	16.7	15.6	1.08	17.8	16.0	1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.48,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.79,0.8,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.37,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.57,0.77,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 102, NOK 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.92,1	91.9%
PHX 104, MIN 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.59,0.71,0.61,0.81,0.64,0.56,0.58,1	91.7%
DET 82, MIA 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.63,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.71,1	91.4%