NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	102		Excitement	7.0 [435]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +45.0%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	107		Comeback	1.9 [797]		LVP	Eddie Jones (MEM): -26.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.45	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45	0.17	0.28	-0.00	10	77%	0.47	1	-0.02	10	100%	0.08
Bobby Jackson	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.4	0.18	0.21	-0.00	15	76%	0.42	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Shane Battier	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.31,0.31,0.3	0.16	0.14	0.00	12	89%	0.35	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dahntay Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.07	0.02	11	54%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Chucky Atkins	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	10	32%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Eddie Jones	-0.27	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	8	0%	-0.20	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.38	0.38	0.07	0.28	-0.03	9	68%	0.43	3	-0.05	13	85%	0.10
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.08	0.23	0.00	16	67%	0.38	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.13	-0.01	5	67%	0.23	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.06
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	8	80%	0.19	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Rasual Butler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.01	9	83%	0.19	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	90%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	42%	0.04	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.0	30.1	17.8	28.2	1.7	48.0	154.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +38.5%

NOK +17.4%

NOK +14.0%

MEM -15.6%

MEM -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NOK	NBA	MEM	NOK	NBA
this game	17.9	17.2	15.6	124.4	130.5	104.4
season	17.1	16.3		103.5	101.2
opponent	15.3	15.7		104.1	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.5	17.6	20.8	16.5	17.9
NOK	15.2	18.4	20.4	15.5	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	20	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-5	5	16.8	18.3	-1.42	19.3	16.4	2.90
Brian Cardinal	6	7	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	1	-7	16.2	18.1	-1.90	14.4	17.5	-3.02
Chucky Atkins	37	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-2	-1	17.8	18.0	-0.16	15.8	18.2	-2.38
Mike Miller	60	61	-0.20	-0.29	0.09	-0.41	7	-12	19	17.2	20.0	-2.83	17.3	16.9	0.39
Pau Gasol	73	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-2	-1	17.8	18.6	-0.71	17.3	16.2	1.09
Bobby Jackson	48	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.31	-2	-3	1	17.5	18.6	-1.08	17.9	16.2	1.70
Shane Battier	69	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-6	7	17.9	18.0	-0.09	17.9	13.7	4.20
Lorenzen Wright	37	36	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	7	-19	20.1	16.2	3.88	15.9	18.2	-2.33
Eddie Jones	60	58	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	2	-9	18.4	16.5	1.89	16.7	18.4	-1.73

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	67	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	2	1	16.6	19.8	-3.19	17.8	18.5	-0.74
Linton Johnson	55	55	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	-6	17	16.8	18.1	-1.31	17.9	17.9	0.00
Marc Jackson	61	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	3	-1	17.6	15.9	1.73	18.3	17.0	1.27
Aaron Williams	24	25	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.01	9	-4	13	17.5	17.1	0.37	21.1	16.5	4.59
Speedy Claxton	63	63	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.35	-5	10	-15	17.4	16.5	0.87	16.9	21.3	-4.41
Rasual Butler	74	74	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.20	-1	6	-7	17.4	14.9	2.57	17.8	19.5	-1.74
J.R. Smith	25	24	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	6	-7	17.8	16.9	0.93	19.0	17.5	1.46
Brandon Bass	19	19	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.09	1	4	-3	18.2	16.9	1.32	17.6	18.0	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.42,0.43,0.29,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.39,0.68,0.55,0.56,0.85,1	92.3%
DET 97, PHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.84,0.92,1	92.2%
CHI 100, UTA 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.48,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.79,0.8,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.37,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.57,0.77,1	91.9%