NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	89		Excitement	8.6 [148]		MVP	Rik Smits (IND): +39.1%
Indiana Pacers	92		Comeback	2.4 [485]		LVP	Jalen Rose (IND): -18.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Rodman	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dickey Simpkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	7	53%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Steve Kerr	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	18	44%	-0.07	3	-0.09	7	86%	-0.01
Luc Longley	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	10	57%	0.06	6	-0.22	3	100%	0.02
Michael Jordan	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.1,-0.16	0.05	-0.17	0.05	23	61%	0.08	3	-0.24	11	91%	0.18

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rik Smits	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.18	0.22	0.01	12	89%	0.42	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,0.17	0.17	-0.01	0.17	-0.01	6	43%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.09
Dale Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	9	68%	0.07	0	0.00	10	50%	-0.07
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	59%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	13	28%	-0.08	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.04
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	4	43%	-0.07	1	-0.07	6	33%	-0.07
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	0.00	10	33%	-0.19	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.5	30.5	19.6	27.1	2.8	42.5	153.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +61.4%

CHI -30.9%

CHI -25.8%

IND +34.3%

IND +11.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	18.3	17.5	15.6	111.2	113.6	102.5
season	16.2	16.0		105.8	105.3
opponent	16.1	15.8		99.2	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.3	21.7	16.2	19.7	18.3
IND	17.2	18.3	16.5	18.2	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	61	61	0.56	-1.06	1.63	0.15	14	-17	31	16.6	23.7	-7.08	18.2	15.2	3.05
Randy Brown	4	4	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-4	5	18.5	18.3	0.22	16.0	17.6	-1.57
Dickey Simpkins	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-3	3	12.0	18.4	-6.37	0.0	17.7	-17.71
Bill Wennington	3	3	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-2	1	12.3	18.5	-6.19	10.3	17.8	-7.44
Scottie Pippen	71	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.34	2	-5	7	17.1	27.9	-10.82	17.7	15.4	2.31
Scott Burrell	19	20	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	7	-17	21.6	17.2	4.39	18.5	17.1	1.40
Luc Longley	50	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.44	2	-5	7	18.8	17.4	1.47	18.2	16.3	1.90
Dennis Rodman	48	47	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.38	-2	-1	-1	19.5	16.5	3.03	17.8	17.1	0.70
Michael Jordan	71	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.42	-2	-1	-1	17.5	24.3	-6.81	16.9	22.6	-5.69
Ron Harper	50	52	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	10	-23	19.5	16.3	3.18	17.8	16.9	0.93
Steve Kerr	22	20	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.43	-6	3	-9	20.9	17.3	3.62	14.2	18.6	-4.37

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	52	49	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.41	9	-6	15	17.1	18.2	-1.16	20.0	15.6	4.37
Travis Best	36	35	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.42	2	1	1	16.6	18.2	-1.59	18.4	18.2	0.25
Derrick McKey	29	29	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.39	3	0	3	15.9	18.4	-2.54	16.0	19.6	-3.59
Jalen Rose	42	40	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	-5	13	17.5	17.5	0.06	21.1	15.4	5.67
Reggie Miller	69	69	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.37	-4	7	-11	18.0	14.7	3.32	17.9	21.0	-3.14
Rik Smits	51	53	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.22	0	3	-3	18.4	16.0	2.43	18.4	18.0	0.43
Dale Davis	59	58	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.19	-3	6	-9	17.1	18.6	-1.51	16.7	22.4	-5.68
Mark Jackson	45	45	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	2	-1	18.2	16.6	1.59	18.2	18.4	-0.25
Chris Mullin	22	22	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	4	-5	18.0	17.3	0.76	17.5	18.6	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.56,0.44,0.3,0.39,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.46,0.55,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 114, OKC 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.37,0.33,0.28,1	90.9%
HOU 71, LAL 72	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.43,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.72,0.32,0.26,1	90.2%
CLE 98, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.38,0.48,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.53,0.36,0.57,0.58,1	90.2%