inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 114 Excitement9.9 [68] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +53.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder 117 Comeback6.0 [372] LVPElfrid Payton (ORL): -19.2%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Victor Oladipo0.430,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.430.300.130.001980%0.4300.008100%0.07
Jason Smith0.310,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.31,0.31,0.310.100.210.00793%0.351-0.0400%0.00
Mario Hezonja0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.010.001080%0.192-0.0900%0.00
Channing Frye-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.02-0.00425%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Tobias Harris-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.040.03-0.070.011450%-0.0400.0020%-0.05
Evan Fournier-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.01-0.060.00470%0.023-0.102100%0.01
Nikola Vucevic-0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11-0.01-0.080.021650%-0.022-0.0900%0.00
Aaron Gordon-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.12-0.04-0.011010%-0.1600.0000%0.00
Elfrid Payton-0.190,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19-0.09-0.11-0.001127%-0.161-0.0300%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.540.540.120.41-0.002564%0.654-0.11887%0.02
Enes Kanter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.090.070.00881%0.201-0.0400%0.00
Cameron Payne0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.030.00564%0.0800.00475%-0.01
Kyle Singler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.03-0.02-0.00462%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dion Waiters0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.01-0.00644%0.031-0.02667%0.00
Anthony Morrow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.00831%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.09,-0.06-0.060.07-0.100.031860%0.202-0.264100%0.02
Steven Adams0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.02-0.03744%-0.023-0.05250%-0.01
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.040.0010%-0.031-0.0500%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.03-0.130.021139%-0.151-0.021100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.01.629.515.028.02.528.7126.3
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +15.0%
OKC +13.7%
OKC +34.3%
ORL -19.5%
OKC +6.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLOKCNBAORLOKCNBA
this game14.914.814.9118.8119.4105.1
season14.614.4103.6111.5
opponent15.114.9104.4105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.314.313.516.714.9
OKC14.714.513.716.814.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mario Hezonja39410.10-0.600.69-0.055-81316.114.12.0113.815.5-1.68
Channing Frye3436-0.03-0.470.44-0.061-4515.014.80.1813.715.5-1.76
Aaron Gordon5354-0.06-0.440.380.03-30-314.515.3-0.8014.814.8-0.06
Tobias Harris7072-0.18-0.320.14-0.428-111914.416.3-1.9014.515.5-1.00
Victor Oladipo8282-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.15-41-514.616.5-1.8915.212.92.23
Evan Fournier3738-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.08-96-1515.514.50.9814.415.0-0.63
Jason Smith3333-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.411-4516.714.02.7115.414.50.93
Nikola Vucevic7475-0.650.15-0.80-0.42-85-1314.316.7-2.3915.114.01.05
Elfrid Payton5859-0.680.18-0.87-0.51-63-914.715.2-0.5815.613.61.98

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steven Adams72710.88-0.381.270.4415-122715.213.71.4615.513.22.28
Russell Westbrook77750.74-0.240.990.4510-71715.014.01.0314.815.1-0.27
Kevin Durant77750.56-0.060.620.5021114.515.8-1.2814.516.2-1.73
Serge Ibaka75740.56-0.060.620.386-3915.014.10.9414.316.7-2.39
Dion Waiters73710.290.210.070.35-25-714.316.4-2.1413.917.6-3.62
Nick Collison910-0.050.55-0.59-0.0503-316.314.71.6814.814.9-0.10
Anthony Morrow1919-0.050.55-0.60-0.0812-116.214.51.7415.214.80.34
Cameron Payne2727-0.060.56-0.620.06-47-1114.315.0-0.6517.214.03.25
Kyle Singler2828-0.150.65-0.80-0.03-47-1114.015.1-1.1815.514.60.82
Enes Kanter3330-0.220.72-0.950.04-912-2114.714.9-0.2115.414.70.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.37,0.33,0.28,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 89, IND 920.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.56,0.44,0.3,0.39,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.46,0.55,0.42,190.9%
DEN 101, GSW 1030.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.22,0.15,0.42,190.8%
BOS 91, WAS 920.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.66,0.6,0.47,0.45,0.33,0.16,190.7%