NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	9.0 [146]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +41.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	99		Comeback	2.4 [713]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -30.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.39	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.39,0.39	0.18	0.22	0.01	15	74%	0.46	2	-0.07	9	78%	-0.01
Luke Jackson	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.10	0.18	0.00	5	110%	0.33	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0.26	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.26	0.10	0.19	0.02	11	65%	0.26	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	75%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.08
Anderson Varejao	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	9	30%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
LeBron James	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.3	-0.01	-0.29	0.01	22	53%	-0.10	5	-0.21	9	44%	-0.19

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,0,0.42	0.42	-0.02	0.40	-0.04	21	54%	0.57	5	-0.15	8	100%	0.09
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.08	0.20	0.00	4	112%	0.30	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.09	0.01	13	69%	0.23	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.06
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	11	60%	0.08	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	13	46%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.0	34.0	19.8	26.1	3.4	39.3	150.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +15.6%

LAL +25.6%

CLE -12.5%

LAL +18.0%

LAL +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAL	NBA	CLE	LAL	NBA
this game	17.3	16.6	15.6	115.3	116.5	104.4
season	16.2	15.6		105.6	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		104.3	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.4	17.4	19.4	17.3	17.3
LAL	15.2	17.7	15.9	17.9	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	29	30	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.03	6	-7	13	18.1	16.9	1.19	16.9	16.5	0.41
Drew Gooden	59	58	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.10	5	-6	11	16.3	19.5	-3.25	17.4	14.9	2.45
Anderson Varejao	2	3	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	3	-7	17.0	17.3	-0.29	7.3	16.9	-9.61
Eric Snow	62	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.41	9	-10	19	16.2	20.1	-3.85	16.9	15.7	1.24
Sasha Pavlovic	11	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	3	-7	20.4	16.8	3.54	17.0	16.5	0.45
Ira Newble	29	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	4	-9	16.2	17.9	-1.68	15.6	17.1	-1.59
LeBron James	72	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.43	5	-6	11	16.4	22.2	-5.84	16.3	18.2	-1.83
Mike Wilks	24	24	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	7	-15	19.4	16.4	2.97	15.1	17.2	-2.11
Luke Jackson	26	26	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	0	-1	19.0	16.5	2.47	17.9	16.0	1.91
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	59	59	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.43	-3	2	-5	18.9	13.6	5.34	16.9	15.8	1.14
Donyell Marshall	52	52	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.42	-5	4	-9	16.7	18.2	-1.42	16.2	17.2	-0.90

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	75	75	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	-1	3	16.6	16.4	0.23	17.0	19.2	-2.17
Kwame Brown	57	58	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.38	4	-3	7	17.1	15.5	1.59	18.8	14.0	4.86
Smush Parker	66	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.48	-1	2	-3	16.5	17.0	-0.52	17.2	17.6	-0.48
Chris Mihm	56	55	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	0	1	16.5	16.8	-0.29	16.8	18.2	-1.37
Luke Walton	35	36	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.13	10	-9	19	15.9	17.1	-1.17	17.1	17.4	-0.39
Kobe Bryant	68	68	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.37	-2	3	-5	16.2	18.2	-2.04	16.5	20.5	-4.06
Sasha Vujacic	29	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	0	1	16.8	16.5	0.29	18.2	16.8	1.37
Devean George	33	32	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	3	-5	17.7	15.9	1.74	18.2	16.7	1.50
Brian Cook	6	6	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.07	-8	9	-17	15.3	16.7	-1.36	12.3	17.7	-5.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.38,0.48,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.53,0.36,0.57,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 100, UTA 107	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.91,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.74,1	92.4%
MIN 89, NYK 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.37,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.42,0.33,0.23,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.83,1	91.8%
ATL 86, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.83,0.8,0.6,0.54,0.36,0.45,0.84,1	91.7%