NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	86		Excitement	7.9 [229]		MVP	Udonis Haslem (MIA): +25.0%
Miami Heat	89		Comeback	4.4 [570]		LVP	Chris Bosh (MIA): -17.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jannero Pargo	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14	0.03	0.12	0.00	5	82%	0.23	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.03	0.01	-0.02	-0.04	22	48%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	62%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.00	5	58%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.06,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	12	67%	0.12	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	9	45%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.06
Ivan Johnson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.04	-0.05	0.04	7	36%	-0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.25	0.25	0.05	0.20	-0.00	6	67%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.07	-0.03	20	62%	0.26	2	-0.06	10	70%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	17	45%	0.07	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Dexter Pittman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	5	38%	-0.09	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.18	-0.18	-0.18	-0.02	-0.02	14	28%	-0.06	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	25.4	16.4	28.0	2.7	30.5	128.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +13.1%

ATL -7.1%

MIA +5.9%

MIA +34.5%

MIA +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIA	NBA	ATL	MIA	NBA
this game	16.1	15.6	15.6	94.5	97.8	102.8
season	15.7	15.5		102.5	105.6
opponent	15.8	15.9		98.8	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.0	16.0	15.9	15.5	16.1
MIA	15.0	15.3	16.1	15.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	58	59	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.19	8	-11	19	16.0	16.3	-0.29	16.3	14.2	2.02
Erick Dampier	9	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	-2	1	14.9	16.2	-1.33	16.4	15.5	0.89
Jeff Teague	62	60	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-7	11	16.1	16.1	-0.02	16.1	14.6	1.49
Vladimir Radmanovic	24	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-4	5	14.9	16.5	-1.65	13.3	16.4	-3.14
Jerry Stackhouse	35	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-3	3	16.2	16.0	0.18	14.8	16.0	-1.24
Josh Smith	71	71	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.30	2	-5	7	16.3	15.3	1.01	16.1	13.7	2.32
Ivan Johnson	37	36	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	4	-11	16.6	15.7	0.94	15.0	15.9	-0.93
Jannero Pargo	28	29	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.18	-8	5	-13	15.8	16.2	-0.38	14.6	16.0	-1.48
Kirk Hinrich	53	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.31	-6	3	-9	15.9	16.4	-0.48	15.6	15.5	0.17
Zaza Pachulia	78	78	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.31	-8	5	-13	16.4	14.2	2.17	15.7	14.5	1.28

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	76	77	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.41	7	-4	11	15.6	15.1	0.51	16.8	12.4	4.32
Udonis Haslem	42	41	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.46	1	2	-1	15.3	15.8	-0.42	15.5	16.6	-1.09
Shane Battier	47	45	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	-1	5	14.6	16.6	-2.00	16.0	16.2	-0.22
Dexter Pittman	14	15	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	-8	19	13.6	15.9	-2.27	16.4	16.0	0.37
Mario Chalmers	63	65	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.15	6	-3	9	16.0	14.7	1.27	17.0	13.9	3.08
Dwyane Wade	65	65	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.26	-1	4	-5	15.8	15.0	0.78	16.2	15.9	0.28
Chris Bosh	61	61	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.29	-3	6	-9	15.9	15.0	0.89	15.1	18.0	-2.85
Norris Cole	27	25	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	6	-9	15.2	15.7	-0.53	14.4	16.7	-2.38
Mike Miller	17	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	5	-7	14.2	15.9	-1.63	17.1	15.8	1.21
Joel Anthony	43	43	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.12	-5	8	-13	16.7	14.5	2.24	16.0	16.2	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.83,0.8,0.6,0.54,0.36,0.45,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 98, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.38,0.48,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.53,0.36,0.57,0.58,1	91.7%
MIN 100, UTA 107	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.91,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.74,1	91.4%
VAN 95, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.28,0.34,0.72,1	90.8%