inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 86 Excitement7.9 [229] MVPUdonis Haslem (MIA): +25.0%
Miami Heat 89 Comeback4.4 [570] LVPChris Bosh (MIA): -17.6%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jannero Pargo0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.140.030.120.00582%0.233-0.091100%0.02
Josh Smith0.030,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.030.01-0.02-0.042248%0.061-0.034100%0.03
Jerry Stackhouse0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.01-0.02862%0.103-0.0700%0.00
Kirk Hinrich-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.01462%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Marvin Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.030.03-0.060.00558%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Erick Dampier-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.0000%0.001-0.0500%0.00
Jeff Teague-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.06,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.050.001267%0.125-0.1800%0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.04-0.00945%-0.013-0.09250%-0.06
Ivan Johnson-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.07-0.050.00425%-0.062-0.0600%0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13-0.04-0.050.04736%-0.081-0.0500%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.250.250.050.20-0.00667%0.2500.0000%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.100.07-0.032062%0.262-0.061070%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.013100%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,0.010.01-0.040.04-0.011745%0.072-0.06667%-0.01
Dexter Pittman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00540%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.00440%-0.022-0.042100%0.01
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.06-0.08-0.00538%-0.092-0.043100%0.02
Chris Bosh0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.18-0.18-0.18-0.02-0.021428%-0.064-0.12475%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.12.425.416.428.02.730.5128.4
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +13.1%
ATL -7.1%
MIA +5.9%
MIA +34.5%
MIA +3.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMIANBAATLMIANBA
this game16.115.615.694.597.8102.8
season15.715.5102.5105.6
opponent15.815.998.899.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL17.016.015.915.516.1
MIA15.015.316.115.815.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marvin Williams58590.04-0.540.59-0.198-111916.016.3-0.2916.314.22.02
Erick Dampier98-0.03-0.470.43-0.00-1-2114.916.2-1.3316.415.50.89
Jeff Teague6260-0.06-0.440.39-0.174-71116.116.1-0.0216.114.61.49
Vladimir Radmanovic2425-0.18-0.320.14-0.211-4514.916.5-1.6513.316.4-3.14
Jerry Stackhouse3535-0.19-0.310.13-0.190-3316.216.00.1814.816.0-1.24
Josh Smith7171-0.24-0.260.01-0.302-5716.315.31.0116.113.72.32
Ivan Johnson3736-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.19-74-1116.615.70.9415.015.9-0.93
Jannero Pargo2829-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.18-85-1315.816.2-0.3814.616.0-1.48
Kirk Hinrich5354-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.31-63-915.916.4-0.4815.615.50.17
Zaza Pachulia7878-0.550.05-0.59-0.31-85-1316.414.22.1715.714.51.28

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James76770.61-0.110.730.417-41115.615.10.5116.812.44.32
Udonis Haslem42410.490.010.480.4612-115.315.8-0.4215.516.6-1.09
Shane Battier47450.440.060.380.324-1514.616.6-2.0016.016.2-0.22
Dexter Pittman14150.420.080.340.1011-81913.615.9-2.2716.416.00.37
Mario Chalmers63650.330.170.150.156-3916.014.71.2717.013.93.08
Dwyane Wade65650.230.27-0.030.26-14-515.815.00.7816.215.90.28
Chris Bosh61610.200.30-0.090.29-36-915.915.00.8915.118.0-2.85
Norris Cole27250.090.41-0.320.18-36-915.215.7-0.5314.416.7-2.38
Mike Miller1718-0.050.55-0.600.01-25-714.215.9-1.6317.115.81.21
Joel Anthony4343-0.270.77-1.04-0.12-58-1316.714.52.2416.016.2-0.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.83,0.8,0.6,0.54,0.36,0.45,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 98, LAL 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.38,0.48,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.53,0.36,0.57,0.58,191.7%
MIN 100, UTA 1070.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.91,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.74,191.4%
VAN 95, SAC 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.28,0.34,0.72,190.8%