NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	95		Excitement	9.5 [48]		MVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): +18.1%
Sacramento Kings	99		Comeback	4.4 [308]		LVP	Tony Massenburg (VAN): -28.1%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.18	0.03	0.15	-0.00	16	63%	0.25	3	-0.07	9	78%	0.08
Mike Bibby	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.04,-0.02,0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.02	16	56%	0.14	1	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
J.R. Henderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Wheat	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	8	62%	0.02
Terry Dehere	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	-0.01	8	53%	-0.05	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Cherokee Parks	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	6	15%	-0.10	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Felipe Lopez	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	14	37%	-0.14	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Tony Massenburg	-0.28	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.28,-0.28	-0.08	-0.20	0.00	13	43%	-0.06	3	-0.22	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.05,0.13	0.13	-0.05	0.18	0.00	14	62%	0.24	4	-0.10	19	58%	-0.12
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.10	-0.01	6	54%	0.12	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	11	54%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	12	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	4	56%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.09	0.02	12	54%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	15	33%	-0.08	2	-0.09	6	67%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	7	32%	-0.11	3	-0.10	8	87%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	27.6	15.6	28.0	2.0	44.1	146.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +27.9%

VAN -8.1%

SAC +18.4%

SAC +3.0%

SAC +8.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	SAC	NBA	VAN	SAC	NBA
this game	14.9	13.3	15.8	94.1	96.1	99.6
season	16.4	14.1		95.7	100.1
opponent	15.5	15.1		100.9	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	14.0	14.6	15.4	15.8	14.9
SAC	12.7	15.4	11.9	13.6	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pete Chilcutt	11	13	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.06	6	-10	16	16.4	14.7	1.62	15.2	13.1	2.09
J.R. Henderson	11	13	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.06	6	-10	16	16.4	14.7	1.62	15.2	13.1	2.09
DeJuan Wheat	21	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.11	3	-7	10	19.4	13.7	5.63	15.2	12.8	2.43
Terry Dehere	43	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-6	8	15.7	14.3	1.35	13.7	13.1	0.62
Cherokee Parks	56	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	3	-10	13.5	16.7	-3.15	12.7	14.0	-1.33
Tony Massenburg	61	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-3	2	15.7	13.7	1.94	13.4	13.2	0.16
Mike Bibby	80	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.27	-7	3	-10	13.7	19.4	-5.63	12.8	15.2	-2.43
Felipe Lopez	65	65	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	3	-10	14.5	15.7	-1.25	13.0	13.8	-0.81
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	84	84	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.31	-8	4	-12	14.6	16.7	-2.15	12.8	15.5	-2.69
Michael Smith	73	72	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.40	-7	3	-10	15.3	14.0	1.27	13.7	12.4	1.30

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vernon Maxwell	59	57	1.02	-0.52	1.53	0.61	14	-10	24	12.9	13.9	-1.01	16.4	13.1	3.28
Lawrence Funderburke	46	42	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.49	1	3	-2	14.8	12.1	2.66	15.0	14.9	0.05
Vlade Divac	87	85	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	0	4	13.1	14.4	-1.31	15.0	14.6	0.43
Jason Williams	64	62	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.34	0	4	-4	13.6	12.9	0.61	12.8	18.3	-5.52
Peja Stojakovic	40	40	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	0	4	12.6	13.8	-1.15	18.0	12.9	5.06
Corliss Williamson	61	60	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	7	-10	14.1	12.2	1.96	13.0	17.8	-4.81
Scot Pollard	72	73	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	-1	6	12.8	14.5	-1.70	15.1	14.6	0.48
Jon Barry	56	55	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	5	-6	12.9	13.8	-0.92	15.8	13.8	1.97
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	30	31	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.09	-4	8	-12	13.3	13.3	0.00	14.3	15.2	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.28,0.34,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 110, PHI 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.73,1	91.4%
LAL 92, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.45,0.74,1	91.1%
SAC 107, LAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.18,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.37,0.23,0.18,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.57,0.74,1	90.8%