NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	123		Excitement	3.0 [1199]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +6.3%
Toronto Raptors	105		Comeback	1.3 [465]		LVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): -7.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	12	68%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	0.01	0.06	15	73%	0.06	2	-0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.14	0.01	0.09	13	73%	0.05	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	13	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	9	44%	0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Shirley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	40%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Bo Outlaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.08	16	58%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.11	0.00	0.08	20	59%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	14	58%	0.05	4	-0.09	8	100%	0.04
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	6	29%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	0.05	18	56%	-0.05	3	-0.03	12	83%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.6	29.3	17.5	27.9	2.5	23.6	129.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +37.4%

TOR -1.5%

PHX +7.4%

PHX +6.6%

PHX +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	TOR	NBA	PHX	TOR	NBA
this game	13.2	15.2	15.5	121.8	102.9	104.0
season	13.5	15.1		112.9	104.8
opponent	15.4	16.0		106.8	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.2	12.9	11.8	16.3	13.2
TOR	15.9	13.8	14.9	16.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	87	87	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.37	31	-13	44	13.0	14.3	-1.29	15.5	13.1	2.41
Steve Nash	64	64	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.40	31	-13	44	12.6	14.1	-1.51	15.1	15.3	-0.25
Shawn Marion	85	87	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.50	34	-16	50	12.9	14.8	-1.94	15.1	15.6	-0.49
Amar'e Stoudemire	43	45	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.41	24	-6	30	12.5	13.7	-1.12	16.3	14.3	1.93
Joe Johnson	68	69	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	14	-10	13.2	13.2	-0.05	15.4	14.8	0.59
Jim Jackson	70	72	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.25	-1	19	-20	13.8	11.8	1.98	14.9	15.8	-0.92
Steven Hunter	35	35	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	16	-14	13.3	13.1	0.16	14.1	15.7	-1.63
Bo Outlaw	18	17	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	17	-16	13.4	13.1	0.32	14.8	15.3	-0.51
Jake Voskuhl	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	29	-40	15.3	12.9	2.35	15.3	15.2	0.13
Smush Parker	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	29	-40	13.9	13.1	0.79	13.9	15.4	-1.54
Paul Shirley	11	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.41	-14	32	-46	15.4	12.9	2.45	15.3	15.2	0.13

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	20	19	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.04	2	-20	22	13.7	15.5	-1.79	12.3	13.4	-1.06
Aaron Williams	6	6	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-20	22	14.3	15.2	-0.91	12.3	13.2	-0.90
Loren Woods	32	31	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.33	11	-29	40	15.5	15.0	0.50	14.5	12.6	1.88
Donyell Marshall	25	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-13	8	15.0	15.2	-0.19	13.8	13.0	0.77
Lamond Murray	41	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-15	12	14.8	15.4	-0.60	12.9	13.3	-0.41
Matt Bonner	66	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	-10	2	15.1	15.3	-0.14	13.7	12.2	1.45
Rafael Araujo	19	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-12	6	15.1	15.2	-0.16	11.5	13.6	-2.15
Jalen Rose	68	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.52	-32	14	-46	15.1	15.3	-0.12	12.4	14.7	-2.30
Milt Palacio	75	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.21	-8	-10	2	15.2	15.1	0.10	13.5	12.4	1.07
Morris Peterson	84	84	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.19	-23	5	-28	15.4	14.1	1.37	13.0	13.9	-0.85
Chris Bosh	74	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.08	-20	2	-22	15.6	14.2	1.34	13.5	12.4	1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 110, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
SAS 115, ATL 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
CLE 118, MEM 96	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%