NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	118		Excitement	2.9 [1195]		MVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +15.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	96		Comeback	1.2 [957]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -5.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.01	-0.01	11	75%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	10	60%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.16	0.00	0.12	17	72%	0.07	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Sasha Pavlovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.06	5	92%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.07	5	83%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	12	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Ira Newble	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	11	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Damon Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eric Snow	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	44%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	69%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	19	52%	0.01	1	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	44%	0.00	0	0.00	3	0%	0.00
Junior Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Lawrence Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	2	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	56%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	10	32%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tarence Kinsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	5	25%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	19	51%	0.06	5	-0.11	7	43%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	28.5	16.6	24.3	2.3	27.7	125.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +35.9%

CLE +0.1%

CLE +5.0%

CLE +10.3%

MEM -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MEM	NBA	CLE	MEM	NBA
this game	15.8	14.8	15.4	125.5	102.1	104.5
season	16.0	15.1		103.2	105.1
opponent	15.1	15.6		110.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.6	14.9	16.3	17.6	15.8
MEM	14.8	15.1	15.7	13.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	49	50	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.28	29	-7	36	15.1	16.6	-1.54	15.4	14.2	1.24
Larry Hughes	59	61	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.32	30	-8	38	15.0	17.2	-2.20	15.5	13.6	1.92
LeBron James	59	60	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.56	35	-13	48	14.8	17.5	-2.61	14.9	14.6	0.27
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	42	42	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.18	21	1	20	15.8	15.8	0.03	15.7	14.1	1.58
Anderson Varejao	25	26	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.18	19	3	16	14.4	16.3	-1.99	15.8	14.4	1.42
Drew Gooden	57	56	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.38	17	5	12	16.0	15.6	0.41	14.9	14.7	0.18
Eric Snow	31	31	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.28	12	10	2	15.7	15.9	-0.21	14.8	14.8	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	52	52	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	21	-20	15.8	15.8	-0.03	14.1	15.7	-1.58
Damon Jones	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.41	-14	36	-50	18.1	15.5	2.60	12.2	15.2	-2.95
David Wesley	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.38	-13	35	-48	18.4	15.3	3.09	13.3	15.1	-1.82
Shannon Brown	30	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.37	-15	37	-52	17.7	14.9	2.81	13.5	15.4	-1.88
Ira Newble	37	35	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.24	-12	34	-46	17.1	15.0	2.04	14.4	15.1	-0.62

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lawrence Roberts	17	17	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.37	13	-35	48	14.2	15.0	-0.78	16.5	15.7	0.87
Junior Harrington	14	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-34	46	12.4	15.2	-2.81	18.2	15.4	2.81
Dahntay Jones	12	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-26	30	14.0	14.9	-0.94	17.7	15.5	2.23
Chucky Atkins	49	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.28	-14	-8	-6	14.3	15.3	-0.99	15.9	15.8	0.12
Stromile Swift	49	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.38	-20	-2	-18	14.6	15.0	-0.43	15.9	15.7	0.21
Tarence Kinsey	32	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.39	-21	-1	-20	14.2	15.1	-0.96	15.8	15.8	0.05
Mike Miller	57	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.10	-14	-8	-6	15.6	13.6	2.06	15.0	17.0	-1.98
Rudy Gay	81	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	-4	-14	14.9	14.2	0.77	15.9	15.3	0.63
Damon Stoudamire	37	36	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	-7	-8	15.7	14.3	1.41	15.1	16.3	-1.19
Hakim Warrick	51	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.42	-27	5	-32	15.2	14.3	0.87	15.9	15.7	0.22
Pau Gasol	71	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.14	-10	-12	2	14.8	14.8	0.05	15.5	16.8	-1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 96, UTA 75	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
HOU 120, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
MIA 110, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%