inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 96 Excitement3.2 [1148] MVPEarl Boykins (DEN): +8.7%
Utah Jazz 75 Comeback1.0 [574] LVPDeShawn Stevenson (UTA): -12.8%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Earl Boykins0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.01-0.03683%0.102-0.01667%-0.00
Voshon Lenard0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.020.03-0.051846%0.091-0.021100%0.03
Marcus Camby0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.01-0.02757%0.0200.00757%-0.01
Ryan Bowen0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mark Pope0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01650%0.0010.0000%0.00
Rodney White-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.040.000.04862%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Chris Andersen-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Francisco Elson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.01250%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Carmelo Anthony-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.09-0.00-0.071248%0.024-0.05580%0.01
Andre Miller-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.01471%0.034-0.076100%0.02
Nene-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.01650%0.012-0.05450%-0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raul Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.00-0.02781%0.073-0.022100%0.00
Michael Ruffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.000.00-0.01250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Paul Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.04133%-0.0000.00450%0.00
Jarron Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.010.01567%0.011-0.03875%0.00
Raja Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.01125%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Greg Ostertag0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.08-0.00-0.04729%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.010.041945%-0.0700.00683%0.01
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.140.00-0.071123%-0.051-0.024100%0.01
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.020.021046%-0.052-0.04425%-0.04
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.18-0.01-0.06722%-0.044-0.08450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.02.532.615.027.01.825.3128.2
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +32.4%
DEN +11.7%
DEN +2.3%
DEN +2.7%
DEN +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENUTANBADENUTANBA
this game14.817.915.7109.185.2100.5
season14.917.2101.699.4
opponent15.215.4100.8101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.013.913.516.014.8
UTA18.317.418.417.517.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Voshon Lenard58590.54-0.040.58-0.2025-42916.012.53.5318.117.60.52
Carmelo Anthony68670.490.010.48-0.102011914.814.8-0.0318.416.32.05
Nene56550.470.030.45-0.051831514.615.3-0.7118.816.42.41
Marcus Camby51510.450.050.390.01156915.513.91.6618.816.72.11
Andre Miller60600.400.100.310.02138514.315.9-1.5118.516.61.89
Earl Boykins46460.060.44-0.380.03120-1914.515.2-0.7817.218.7-1.47
Chris Andersen14150.060.44-0.390.03120-1911.815.4-3.6217.318.0-0.68
Rodney White32320.050.45-0.41-0.07417-1315.714.31.4016.019.0-2.93
Ryan Bowen12110.000.50-0.50-0.09318-1512.815.1-2.3116.618.1-1.44
Nikoloz Tskitishvili12110.000.50-0.50-0.09318-1512.815.1-2.3116.618.1-1.44
Mark Pope870.000.50-0.500.12-425-2913.914.9-1.0514.418.2-3.77
Francisco Elson2326-0.010.51-0.52-0.19615-915.914.41.4717.118.2-1.17

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Raul Lopez4141-0.04-0.460.420.11-5-161117.018.7-1.6415.414.31.10
Paul Grant1516-0.06-0.440.370.02-3-181517.218.0-0.8413.415.2-1.78
Raja Bell1211-0.15-0.350.200.09-8-13516.118.2-2.1014.414.9-0.53
Greg Ostertag4141-0.16-0.340.170.22-13-8-519.416.62.8915.913.91.92
Sasha Pavlovic4545-0.16-0.340.17-0.08-3-181518.617.11.5314.714.9-0.20
Mo Williams6060-0.22-0.280.060.01-8-13517.219.3-2.0414.016.6-2.61
Jarron Collins6566-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.00-9-12317.020.4-3.3814.515.7-1.14
Carlos Arroyo4747-0.46-0.04-0.420.01-16-5-1118.717.01.6414.315.4-1.10
DeShawn Stevenson5960-0.47-0.03-0.430.21-232-2518.417.01.3915.812.73.10
Michael Ruffin5553-0.510.01-0.52-0.01-17-4-1318.017.80.2214.814.80.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 118, MEM 960.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%
ORL 105, WAS 900.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.5%
MIA 90, CLE 650.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%