NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	115		Excitement	3.2 [1111]		MVP	Terry Porter (SAS): +11.1%
Atlanta Hawks	101		Comeback	1.2 [1166]		LVP	Toni Kukoc (ATL): -6.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Porter	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	-0.00	6	108%	0.12	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	13	72%	0.11	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Danny Ferry	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	5	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	8	82%	0.08	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Samaki Walker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	60%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Shawnelle Scott	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	62%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	63%	0.03	3	-0.05	12	58%	-0.04
Avery Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	12	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	79%	0.07	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.11	-0.01	0.08	25	59%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.00	0.05	6	83%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	10	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	10	62%	0.01	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	9	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	30.2	14.8	24.0	2.0	26.1	123.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +50.0%

SAS +0.5%

SAS +7.5%

ATL -8.8%

SAS +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	ATL	NBA	SAS	ATL	NBA
this game	15.5	15.0	15.5	121.1	107.4	100.9
season	15.9	15.4		103.4	96.0
opponent	15.1	15.5		101.6	96.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	12.7	15.8	14.7	19.4	15.5
ATL	14.5	14.9	16.6	14.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	65	65	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.10	21	-7	28	14.1	18.4	-4.26	15.2	14.6	0.63
David Robinson	68	68	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.07	18	-4	22	15.5	15.5	0.00	15.2	14.4	0.78
Tim Duncan	60	60	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.07	16	-2	18	14.1	17.8	-3.71	15.5	14.1	1.32
Danny Ferry	41	40	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.11	15	-1	16	13.4	17.1	-3.73	15.8	14.4	1.37
Terry Porter	43	43	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.07	13	1	12	13.6	17.1	-3.52	15.7	14.4	1.35
Avery Johnson	52	51	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.15	1	13	-12	17.1	13.6	3.52	14.4	15.7	-1.35
Antonio Daniels	46	45	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.24	-3	17	-20	16.5	14.6	1.89	14.4	15.5	-1.09
Samaki Walker	45	45	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.19	-4	18	-22	17.6	13.6	4.06	14.7	15.2	-0.53
Malik Rose	39	38	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	17	-20	17.2	14.3	2.92	14.2	15.5	-1.26
Steve Kerr	13	13	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.07	-2	16	-18	19.2	14.9	4.25	14.4	15.1	-0.70
Shawnelle Scott	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	15.7	15.5	0.19	8.5	15.1	-6.63

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cal Bowdler	40	41	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.28	11	-25	36	15.2	14.9	0.32	17.8	13.7	4.13
Matt Maloney	39	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-18	22	15.4	14.7	0.72	17.0	14.3	2.70
Dion Glover	37	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-13	12	13.8	15.8	-1.94	16.2	15.0	1.20
Hanno Mottola	45	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	-6	-2	15.2	14.8	0.45	15.7	15.3	0.33
DerMarr Johnson	60	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-16	18	14.8	15.2	-0.39	16.7	13.3	3.41
Alan Henderson	29	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	-7	0	14.9	15.0	-0.18	13.8	16.2	-2.41
Brevin Knight	43	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.08	-10	-4	-6	14.8	15.2	-0.41	14.5	16.3	-1.86
Toni Kukoc	45	44	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.13	-19	5	-24	15.1	14.9	0.15	13.7	17.0	-3.32
Jason Terry	69	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.07	-21	7	-28	15.5	13.5	2.00	14.8	17.3	-2.49
Nazr Mohammed	63	65	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.07	-21	7	-28	14.8	15.3	-0.45	14.7	17.2	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 112, LAC 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
UTA 96, DEN 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
PHX 123, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%