NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	89		Excitement	9.3 [118]		MVP	Mark Blount (BOS): +28.4%
Boston Celtics	91		Comeback	5.4 [481]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -57.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Milt Palacio	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	6	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.06	0.05	-0.10	0.00	7	71%	0.07	1	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	8	42%	-0.03	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.09	0.04	-0.14	-0.01	13	63%	0.10	2	-0.19	4	75%	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1	0.00	-0.12	-0.02	15	53%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Rafer Alston	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	9	11%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	17	33%	-0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Chris Bosh	-0.25	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.10	-0.15	-0.00	12	46%	-0.11	4	-0.14	4	75%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Blount	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.28	0.28	0.05	0.24	0.01	15	73%	0.42	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	6	68%	0.10	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.04
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	11	56%	0.01	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	8	50%	-0.02	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.02
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	5	25%	-0.07	3	-0.08	2	50%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	6	0%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21	-0.21	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	5	33%	-0.15	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.12
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.35,-0.57	-0.57	-0.14	-0.43	0.01	16	43%	-0.34	2	-0.24	15	73%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	25.6	15.7	27.3	2.5	42.2	141.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +29.2%

TOR -9.2%

BOS +23.5%

TOR -4.1%

BOS +10.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BOS	NBA	TOR	BOS	NBA
this game	15.3	14.4	15.5	91.8	93.8	104.0
season	15.1	14.4		104.8	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.4		104.1	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.0	15.8	16.9	15.0	15.3
BOS	13.1	16.9	17.4	11.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	20	19	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.13	-3	1	-4	16.9	14.9	1.98	16.3	13.9	2.43
Loren Woods	44	46	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-4	6	15.6	15.1	0.56	15.1	13.7	1.38
Rafer Alston	45	46	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.02	2	-4	6	15.4	15.3	0.05	15.1	13.7	1.38
Lamond Murray	21	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	1	-4	17.2	14.8	2.37	16.4	13.8	2.57
Chris Bosh	63	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	0	-2	15.4	15.2	0.24	14.2	14.8	-0.63
Matt Bonner	34	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-2	2	15.2	15.4	-0.24	14.8	14.2	0.63
Jalen Rose	75	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.48	1	-3	4	15.0	16.5	-1.57	13.8	16.4	-2.57
Milt Palacio	53	51	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.43	-4	2	-6	15.1	15.6	-0.56	13.7	15.1	-1.38
Donyell Marshall	53	51	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.43	-4	2	-6	15.1	15.6	-0.56	13.7	15.1	-1.38
Vince Carter	77	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.57	1	-3	4	14.9	16.9	-1.98	13.9	16.3	-2.43

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Davis	66	67	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.40	5	-3	8	13.7	15.8	-2.08	14.8	16.5	-1.65
Raef LaFrentz	65	64	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.51	0	2	-2	14.5	14.0	0.49	15.8	14.5	1.28
Mark Blount	69	66	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	-1	4	14.5	14.0	0.51	15.6	14.7	0.86
Paul Pierce	76	75	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.43	-1	3	-4	14.2	14.8	-0.57	15.7	14.0	1.66
Marcus Banks	32	32	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.07	9	-7	16	12.9	15.1	-2.12	14.2	15.9	-1.70
Gary Payton	65	66	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.38	-7	9	-16	15.1	12.9	2.12	15.7	14.5	1.15
Al Jefferson	31	32	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	-2	6	13.9	14.6	-0.72	15.1	15.4	-0.35
Walter McCarty	6	5	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.01	1	1	0	15.8	14.3	1.57	10.8	15.6	-4.78
Tony Allen	30	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	6	-10	14.8	14.1	0.68	14.7	15.6	-0.86
Jiri Welsch	45	47	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.05	0	2	-2	14.9	13.9	1.03	15.8	14.9	0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.62,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.8,0.85,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 94, CHA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.64,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.77,0.42,1	91.2%
NYK 89, BOS 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.25,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.8,0.72,0.85,0.58,1	91.0%
DET 82, POR 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.72,1	90.6%