NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	89		Excitement	9.0 [108]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +21.7%
Boston Celtics	91		Comeback	6.6 [301]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -27.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	0.00	13	67%	0.22	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Landry Fields	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	9	55%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Henry Walker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	38%	0.03	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	15	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Toney Douglas	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	1	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.23	0.08	-0.30	0.01	17	59%	-0.17	2	-0.07	10	90%	0.03
Iman Shumpert	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.26	-0.09	-0.19	-0.03	10	35%	-0.15	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.07	0.16	0.01	10	67%	0.26	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.02
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.09	-0.00	4	50%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.05	0.00	21	56%	0.11	3	-0.09	12	83%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.01	13	58%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	0.00	11	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.15	-0.12	-0.00	8	35%	-0.10	5	-0.17	4	25%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	3.6	31.5	18.7	31.0	2.0	46.8	163.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +59.5%

BOS +4.4%

BOS +3.2%

NYK -25.3%

BOS +8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	16.6	16.4	15.6	101.1	104.6	102.8
season	14.9	15.5		102.3	99.4
opponent	16.2	15.7		97.1	100.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.6	16.9	17.6	18.6	16.6
BOS	16.4	15.1	17.5	16.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Henry Walker	17	18	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-6	10	18.8	16.0	2.74	15.9	16.5	-0.52
Jeremy Lin	12	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-1	0	17.3	16.4	0.90	14.1	16.8	-2.68
Jared Jeffries	44	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	2	-6	14.2	18.9	-4.75	17.1	15.6	1.49
Toney Douglas	15	15	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	7	-16	14.1	17.1	-3.00	17.1	16.2	0.94
Iman Shumpert	74	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.46	7	-9	16	17.7	10.3	7.46	16.5	15.7	0.77
Tyson Chandler	68	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.33	-2	0	-2	16.4	17.2	-0.83	16.5	15.9	0.52
Amar'e Stoudemire	64	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.48	2	-4	6	18.4	11.7	6.72	15.7	18.0	-2.25
Landry Fields	75	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-1	0	15.8	21.2	-5.39	16.5	15.7	0.77
Carmelo Anthony	71	69	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.44	-6	4	-10	16.0	18.8	-2.74	16.5	15.9	0.52

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	78	78	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	-2	6	16.6	14.7	1.88	16.3	18.7	-2.42
Kevin Garnett	60	59	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	-1	4	15.7	17.9	-2.22	17.6	14.4	3.14
Ray Allen	57	59	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.40	4	-2	6	15.8	17.4	-1.54	18.2	13.3	4.89
Brandon Bass	45	47	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.14	7	-5	12	17.2	15.4	1.79	16.8	16.3	0.54
Avery Bradley	29	30	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.05	9	-7	16	15.0	17.0	-1.98	17.3	16.2	1.13
Rajon Rondo	64	64	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.43	-8	10	-18	16.4	16.3	0.01	15.7	18.9	-3.24
Mickael Pietrus	30	28	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	-1	4	17.6	15.7	1.85	13.6	17.9	-4.27
Chris Wilcox	31	33	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.06	6	-4	10	17.3	15.9	1.40	14.8	17.6	-2.88
Sasha Pavlovic	6	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	7	-12	14.7	16.5	-1.81	18.3	16.4	1.88
Jermaine O'Neal	35	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.28	-13	15	-28	16.4	16.3	0.07	17.0	16.2	0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.25,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.8,0.72,0.85,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 86, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.35,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.59,1	92.0%
POR 92, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.2,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.25,0.2,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.95,1	91.1%
TOR 89, BOS 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.62,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.8,0.85,0.42,1	91.0%