NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	86		Excitement	9.1 [117]		MVP	Steve Kerr (CHI): +34.6%
Chicago Bulls	90		Comeback	5.5 [282]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (CHI): -32.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.23,0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.00	10	77%	0.28	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.02	-0.02	9	67%	0.10	0	0.00	9	89%	0.04
Antoine Carr	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	62%	0.05	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Howard Eisley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Morris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Karl Malone	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21	-0.12	-0.10	-0.00	15	47%	-0.11	2	-0.11	15	47%	-0.11
Shandon Anderson	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.27	-0.10	-0.18	-0.00	10	31%	-0.27	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.35	0.35	0.06	0.29	0.00	5	75%	0.35	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	56%	0.04	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Ron Harper	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	35	49%	-0.05	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.01
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.09	-0.14	0.00	4	10%	-0.19	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.10	-0.21	0.01	17	50%	-0.20	5	-0.13	12	83%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	193.9	2.5	31.8	19.0	34.2	3.4	35.4	320.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -15.6%

CHI +2.9%

CHI +60.7%

CHI +5.7%

UTA -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHI	NBA	UTA	CHI	NBA
this game	15.3	17.1	15.6	95.6	102.3	104.4
season	15.6	15.5		110.8	110.5
opponent	16.1	16.0		99.8	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.3	14.3	15.3	17.6	15.3
CHI	16.4	15.7	17.5	19.4	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	21	21	0.22	-0.72	0.93	0.01	7	-11	18	14.3	15.6	-1.28	17.6	17.0	0.66
Greg Ostertag	39	40	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.01	4	-8	12	15.2	15.3	-0.06	17.1	17.1	-0.03
Greg Foster	10	10	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-6	8	13.6	15.5	-1.88	14.9	17.4	-2.50
Antoine Carr	13	12	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-4	4	14.7	15.4	-0.67	14.2	17.6	-3.41
Chris Morris	23	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	3	-10	16.8	14.7	2.04	14.0	18.1	-4.15
Jeff Hornacek	66	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-3	2	14.8	16.5	-1.74	18.1	14.3	3.86
Bryon Russell	80	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.43	-1	-3	2	15.2	16.0	-0.82	17.5	14.0	3.47
Karl Malone	81	79	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.37	-6	2	-8	15.4	14.2	1.16	17.5	14.1	3.34
Shandon Anderson	48	46	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.41	-7	3	-10	15.7	14.8	0.86	17.2	17.0	0.17
John Stockton	69	67	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.39	-11	7	-18	15.6	14.3	1.28	17.0	17.6	-0.66

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	45	47	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.39	9	-5	14	17.2	17.1	0.09	14.9	15.6	-0.69
Steve Kerr	45	47	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.43	7	-3	10	17.2	17.0	0.27	15.4	15.1	0.24
Scottie Pippen	78	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	1	2	17.2	16.5	0.69	15.6	12.9	2.69
Dennis Rodman	59	60	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.31	0	4	-4	17.7	15.9	1.76	15.1	15.6	-0.55
Jud Buechler	15	16	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.12	6	-2	8	15.9	17.4	-1.42	17.7	14.7	3.02
Michael Jordan	81	81	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.28	0	4	-4	17.3	15.0	2.30	15.0	17.6	-2.54
Bison Dele	41	40	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	4	-4	17.2	17.0	0.24	16.3	14.4	1.86
Luc Longley	27	29	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	4	-4	15.7	17.7	-1.98	14.8	15.5	-0.75
Jason Caffey	4	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	4	-4	16.0	17.2	-1.17	9.8	15.6	-5.79
Randy Brown	10	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	5	-6	18.1	17.0	1.11	14.3	15.4	-1.09
Ron Harper	35	36	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	8	-12	16.6	17.5	-0.90	14.9	15.5	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.35,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 89, BOS 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.25,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.8,0.72,0.85,0.58,1	92.0%
DAL 107, GSW 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.78,0.68,0.74,1	91.8%
CLE 98, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.72,0.97,0.92,1	91.8%