NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	94		Excitement	8.4 [192]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +69.9%
Charlotte Hornets	98		Comeback	7.3 [85]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (NOP): -14.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.40	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.4	0.17	0.23	0.00	24	64%	0.42	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Eric Gordon	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.12,0.12	-0.01	0.12	-0.01	13	50%	0.15	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Omer Asik	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Dante Cunningham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	13	53%	0.05	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04
Ryan Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jimmer Fredette	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.06	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	11	38%	-0.03	5	-0.12	4	50%	0.04

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.15,0.7	0.70	0.10	0.61	0.00	24	55%	0.75	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.02
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.00	5	83%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.08	-0.00	5	60%	0.12	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.04
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	52%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Cody Zeller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	8	31%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
PJ Hairston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	5	25%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	17	44%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	27.4	15.3	23.5	1.7	38.7	133.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +14.8%

CHA +14.1%

CHA +13.0%

CHA +6.4%

CHA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	CHA	NBA	NOP	CHA	NBA
this game	14.7	15.3	15.1	97.9	102.1	104.2
season	15.8	15.6		106.3	98.9
opponent	15.1	15.2		102.6	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.4	13.5	18.3	13.7	14.7
CHA	17.1	16.0	13.0	15.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexis Ajinca	10	9	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-5	6	12.1	15.0	-2.88	16.6	15.2	1.36
Omer Asik	41	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-3	2	15.4	14.1	1.29	15.1	15.5	-0.45
Jimmer Fredette	22	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	-1	-2	12.5	15.3	-2.77	14.4	15.6	-1.21
Tyreke Evans	69	69	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.34	5	-9	14	15.1	13.6	1.46	15.6	14.7	0.81
Anthony Davis	81	82	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.28	1	-5	6	15.0	12.7	2.38	15.5	14.5	0.96
Dante Cunningham	43	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.18	-6	2	-8	14.3	15.0	-0.64	15.5	15.2	0.23
Eric Gordon	80	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.31	-5	1	-6	14.2	16.9	-2.64	15.3	15.2	0.11
Ryan Anderson	59	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	3	-10	14.3	15.4	-1.10	15.1	15.6	-0.53
Jrue Holiday	75	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.39	-5	1	-6	15.5	11.9	3.61	15.3	15.5	-0.19

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Neal	33	34	1.21	-0.71	1.93	0.92	10	-6	16	16.1	14.9	1.12	14.1	15.0	-0.82
Marvin Williams	51	51	1.17	-0.67	1.84	0.61	19	-15	34	14.6	16.1	-1.48	14.4	15.0	-0.65
Jason Maxiell	30	29	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	-2	8	15.5	15.2	0.26	14.5	14.8	-0.28
Gerald Henderson	72	73	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	0	4	14.7	17.3	-2.62	14.9	13.9	1.00
Brian Roberts	25	25	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	-4	12	14.8	15.5	-0.65	13.2	15.2	-2.00
Kemba Walker	71	71	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.34	-4	8	-12	15.5	14.8	0.65	15.2	13.2	2.00
Cody Zeller	56	57	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.24	-5	9	-14	15.4	15.2	0.13	14.3	15.3	-0.98
PJ Hairston	16	16	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	10	-16	16.4	15.1	1.34	12.1	15.2	-3.06
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	71	69	-0.41	0.91	-1.33	-0.41	0	4	-4	15.4	15.1	0.27	15.3	13.1	2.13
Bismack Biyombo	55	55	-0.66	1.16	-1.82	-0.31	-12	16	-28	15.8	14.7	1.16	15.5	13.6	1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.64,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.77,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 104, MIA 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.66,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.64,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.42,1	91.3%
TOR 89, BOS 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.62,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.8,0.85,0.42,1	91.2%
HOU 110, LAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.58,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.73,1	91.1%