NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	104		Excitement	8.9 [144]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +49.1%
Miami Heat	108		Comeback	4.0 [235]		LVP	Robin Lopez (POR): -16.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.24	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.24	0.16	0.10	0.03	24	62%	0.27	1	-0.03	7	43%	-0.07
Nicolas Batum	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.01	6	57%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	5	75%	0.12	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Damian Lillard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	13	59%	0.12	4	-0.09	3	33%	-0.03
CJ McCollum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	2	75%	0.09	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,-0.02	0.06	-0.07	0.00	13	54%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Meyers Leonard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	4	45%	0.02	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Dorell Wright	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	4	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16	-0.05	-0.12	-0.01	5	50%	-0.10	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.49	0.49	0.08	0.41	-0.00	26	55%	0.55	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.06
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.19	0.12	0.01	13	80%	0.30	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	11	52%	0.11	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	4	87%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	0.00	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.05	0.00	16	59%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	45%	0.05	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.6	31.1	15.4	28.3	2.5	36.2	138.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +54.8%

MIA +2.3%

POR -40.4%

MIA +33.8%

POR -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIA	NBA	POR	MIA	NBA
this game	15.7	15.8	15.1	114.3	117.4	104.2
season	15.3	16.0		106.5	102.4
opponent	15.3	15.0		105.4	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.5	14.6	15.9	18.0	15.7
MIA	17.5	14.8	15.4	15.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	25	26	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.05	11	-15	26	14.8	16.0	-1.27	16.5	15.5	1.04
CJ McCollum	26	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-9	14	15.5	15.8	-0.31	16.0	15.7	0.29
Dorell Wright	31	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.14	3	-7	10	17.4	14.8	2.59	15.6	15.9	-0.26
Chris Kaman	34	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-2	0	17.6	14.5	3.04	14.6	16.5	-1.93
Robin Lopez	56	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-4	4	14.7	17.3	-2.65	17.1	13.9	3.18
Meyers Leonard	22	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	1	-6	20.5	14.1	6.36	13.4	16.5	-3.06
LaMarcus Aldridge	69	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.31	1	-5	6	14.1	20.5	-6.36	16.5	13.4	3.06
Nicolas Batum	61	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.25	-7	3	-10	14.9	17.3	-2.37	15.6	16.1	-0.50
Damian Lillard	67	68	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.33	-13	9	-22	16.0	14.7	1.26	15.5	16.7	-1.24
Arron Afflalo	64	63	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.34	-13	9	-22	15.6	15.9	-0.35	15.5	16.3	-0.81

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	75	72	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.39	8	-4	12	15.9	15.4	0.47	16.1	14.2	1.86
Luol Deng	80	78	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	0	4	16.3	12.6	3.69	15.2	18.6	-3.42
Dwyane Wade	60	60	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.25	6	-2	8	15.9	15.7	0.21	15.7	15.6	0.15
Chris Andersen	27	27	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.29	1	3	-2	15.3	16.0	-0.70	17.0	15.1	1.93
Udonis Haslem	59	58	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	-2	8	16.0	15.4	0.58	14.7	17.4	-2.73
Michael Beasley	33	33	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.28	-2	6	-8	15.4	16.0	-0.58	17.4	14.7	2.73
Tyler Johnson	34	35	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.12	3	1	2	14.4	16.6	-2.28	16.2	15.4	0.84
Hassan Whiteside	63	63	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	3	-2	16.5	14.3	2.12	15.2	16.7	-1.49
Mario Chalmers	29	29	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.12	-7	11	-18	14.8	16.3	-1.46	15.0	16.0	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.66,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.64,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 94, CHA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.64,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.77,0.42,1	91.3%
WAS 102, BOS 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.28,0.2,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.57,0.42,1	90.7%
POR 89, LAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.46,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.85,0.73,1	90.6%