inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 108 Excitement3.3 [1165] MVPSteve Francis (ORL): +9.7%
Orlando Magic 129 Comeback1.4 [984] LVPMorris Peterson (TOR): -7.4%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0.090,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.01-0.041558%0.121-0.02667%-0.01
Rafer Alston0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.01-0.011262%0.052-0.022100%0.00
Loren Woods0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.01250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.02-0.01-0.03744%0.0000.00450%-0.00
Jerome Moiso0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.031100%0.0000.003100%0.00
Milt Palacio-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.071042%0.012-0.014100%0.01
Rafael Araujo-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.010100%0.001-0.002100%0.00
Donyell Marshall-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh-0.010,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.03850%0.032-0.04250%-0.01
Lamond Murray-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00731%-0.0500.002100%0.00
Jalen Rose-0.070,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.011350%-0.014-0.06475%0.00
Morris Peterson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.02-0.000.091152%-0.0700.00333%-0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Francis0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.01-0.031277%0.154-0.05683%-0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.010.00771%0.0610.0000%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.010.02872%0.051-0.01250%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.01671%0.031-0.00978%-0.00
Cuttino Mobley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.070.000.051070%0.031-0.00333%-0.01
Grant Hill0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.04-0.01-0.071353%0.023-0.00683%0.01
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.09-0.010.07875%0.0100.0000%0.00
Brandon Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stacey Augmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.070.00-0.061250%0.044-0.052100%0.01
Mario Kasun0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02540%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.010.002100%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.629.115.628.41.830.2132.0
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +32.2%
ORL +5.8%
ORL +13.5%
TOR -2.3%
ORL +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORORLNBATORORLNBA
this game13.513.415.5100.0121.7104.0
season15.114.3104.8102.9
opponent15.515.4105.1106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR13.515.013.012.613.5
ORL13.112.712.215.613.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerome Moiso13130.00-0.500.50-0.4415-365113.413.5-0.1615.313.12.19
Rafael Araujo2121-0.02-0.480.45-0.299-303913.513.5-0.0613.413.40.05
Rafer Alston6260-0.18-0.320.150.29-16-5-1113.114.1-0.9714.711.63.14
Chris Bosh5149-0.21-0.290.080.08-10-11113.813.20.6012.514.2-1.71
Loren Woods5047-0.23-0.270.040.09-11-10-114.013.10.8812.713.9-1.19
Jalen Rose6259-0.24-0.260.020.20-15-6-913.613.40.2412.214.8-2.59
Vince Carter7068-0.24-0.260.010.31-19-2-1713.014.4-1.3813.613.00.60
Morris Peterson4142-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.11-5-161114.213.11.1214.312.81.57
Lamond Murray4647-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.08-6-15913.413.6-0.2414.812.22.59
Matt Bonner3132-0.27-0.23-0.040.32-20-1-1914.213.30.8913.913.20.70
Donyell Marshall3231-0.29-0.21-0.070.21-17-4-1313.713.40.3213.013.5-0.55
Milt Palacio6161-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.01-10-11113.014.2-1.2111.915.4-3.46

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwight Howard85880.410.090.31-0.5633-124513.214.1-0.9413.513.40.10
Steve Francis61640.360.140.23-0.3123-22512.015.2-3.1914.112.71.35
Kelvin Cato54560.360.140.23-0.2822-12313.413.30.0814.312.71.69
Grant Hill63630.310.190.12-0.3322-12313.213.6-0.3713.813.20.56
DeShawn Stevenson58590.230.27-0.030.06615-913.613.10.5213.713.30.44
Hedo Turkoglu60600.230.27-0.040.29-223-2513.713.00.6413.114.0-0.92
Cuttino Mobley32350.200.30-0.09-0.24156912.313.9-1.5413.313.7-0.40
Mario Kasun25250.170.33-0.16-0.121011-112.413.7-1.2912.513.8-1.31
Jameer Nelson45440.140.36-0.230.19-223-2515.212.03.1912.714.1-1.35
Tony Battie22230.080.42-0.33-0.09615-913.213.4-0.2013.513.5-0.06
Brandon Hunter14130.000.50-0.500.41-1435-4916.412.93.5013.413.5-0.16
Stacey Augmon11100.000.50-0.500.41-1435-4914.513.31.2912.413.6-1.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 71, SAC 1070.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
MIA 91, BOS 1010.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,196.3%
SAC 85, PHI 1120.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%