inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 71 Excitement3.2 [1177] MVPBrad Miller (SAC): +4.5%
Sacramento Kings 107 Comeback1.6 [936] LVPJunior Harrington (NOH): -19.5%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lee Nailon0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.00-0.04850%0.032-0.02250%-0.01
J.R. Smith-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01744%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Corsley Edwards-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.05312%-0.0000.00250%0.00
P.J. Brown-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.011158%0.022-0.022100%0.01
Dan Dickau-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.01-0.031058%0.054-0.07475%-0.01
David Wesley-0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.03831%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Lonny Baxter-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.150.00-0.11614%-0.013-0.0320%-0.00
Chris Andersen-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.04650%-0.0530.00875%-0.02
Matt Freije-0.050,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.000.01430%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
George Lynch-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.020.00533%-0.051-0.022100%0.01
Junior Harrington-0.190,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.17-0.03-0.00911%-0.123-0.0700%0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.09-0.000.04977%0.071-0.034100%0.02
Peja Stojakovic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.07-0.010.031466%0.072-0.044100%0.01
Greg Ostertag0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.003100%0.042-0.0200%0.00
Doug Christie0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00-0.023100%0.053-0.0500%0.00
Erik Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00944%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.000.01967%0.033-0.04683%-0.00
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.09-0.00-0.06637%-0.0320.00450%-0.03
Bobby Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.070.000.101164%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Darius Songaila0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.001050%-0.022-0.03683%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.92.327.816.726.32.424.4123.8
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +36.2%
SAC +7.3%
SAC +5.2%
SAC +1.7%
NOH -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHSACNBANOHSACNBA
this game17.214.315.578.0116.3104.0
season16.514.797.7108.1
opponent15.615.7106.4105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH14.917.919.916.517.2
SAC13.912.814.416.214.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Corsley Edwards2222-0.00-0.500.500.12-4-322816.517.4-0.9116.213.72.53
J.R. Smith2827-0.01-0.490.480.31-11-251416.217.6-1.3516.413.43.03
Lonny Baxter3939-0.09-0.410.310.49-20-16-416.317.9-1.6315.513.52.01
Matt Freije3332-0.14-0.360.230.07-7-292218.316.61.7013.814.5-0.71
Dan Dickau5860-0.20-0.300.100.47-23-13-1016.218.8-2.6114.813.41.38
Lee Nailon4446-0.26-0.24-0.010.36-21-15-616.417.9-1.5113.515.1-1.57
George Lynch3434-0.31-0.19-0.130.04-12-241218.416.51.8613.814.6-0.81
David Wesley5556-0.34-0.16-0.190.21-19-17-217.317.00.3113.415.7-2.33
P.J. Brown5152-0.34-0.16-0.190.21-19-17-218.515.52.9714.114.5-0.43
Chris Andersen5051-0.35-0.15-0.200.38-25-11-1416.118.6-2.5014.114.5-0.42
Junior Harrington4141-0.45-0.05-0.390.11-19-17-219.015.73.3013.415.0-1.56

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bobby Jackson54530.420.080.35-0.372791814.414.20.2516.717.9-1.17
Brad Miller63620.410.090.32-0.473062413.615.9-2.3817.217.10.17
Peja Stojakovic60590.380.120.27-0.3525111413.515.7-2.2217.716.31.35
Doug Christie63640.350.150.20-0.3825111414.114.7-0.5117.416.70.69
Greg Ostertag33330.320.180.15-0.262016414.014.5-0.4316.417.6-1.24
Darius Songaila72720.260.240.03-0.201620-414.712.91.7317.316.80.50
Mike Bibby49480.230.27-0.05-0.241620-413.515.2-1.6617.516.90.62
Matt Barnes27260.120.38-0.27-0.12828-2015.713.72.0317.117.2-0.15
Maurice Evans23230.000.50-0.50-0.20729-2216.513.62.9016.017.6-1.53
Erik Daniels16150.000.50-0.50-0.18630-2416.113.92.2018.217.01.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 92, IND 1020.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
TOR 108, ORL 1290.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
ATL 92, SAC 1170.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%