inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 92 Excitement3.1 [1176] MVPMonta Ellis (IND): +13.8%
Indiana Pacers 102 Comeback1.9 [577] LVPChandler Parsons (MEM): -5.7%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.050.000.03669%0.031-0.01475%-0.01
Troy Daniels0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.050.000.041059%0.011-0.00250%-0.01
Tony Allen0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.03-0.01-0.04961%0.044-0.0300%0.00
Mike Conley0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.02-0.00-0.03945%0.031-0.0240%-0.04
Andrew Harrison0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.061125%0.0000.002100%0.00
Deyonta Davis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Zach Randolph-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.01-0.041335%-0.001-0.01560%-0.01
Toney Douglas-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.000.000.01743%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Marc Gasol-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.06-0.01-0.051537%-0.021-0.002100%0.01
James Ennis III-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
JaMychal Green-0.030,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.010.02750%-0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Chandler Parsons-0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.010.00633%-0.041-0.0200%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monta Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.090.02-0.031080%0.162-0.0200%0.00
Lavoy Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.010.015100%0.091-0.0000%0.00
CJ Miles0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.140.010.091085%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Myles Turner0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.080.000.03786%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Glenn Robinson III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.00-0.05462%0.052-0.0000%0.00
Thaddeus Young0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.070.000.04771%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.03-0.00-0.04848%0.033-0.025100%0.01
Kevin Seraphin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joe Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rakeem Christmas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.000.00367%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.000.02750%0.011-0.034100%0.01
Paul George0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.13-0.01-0.081235%0.014-0.072100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.81.829.415.428.82.029.3128.5
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +48.2%
IND +3.5%
IND +9.0%
MEM -10.9%
IND +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMINDNBAMEMINDNBA
this game15.614.614.896.8106.2107.7
season16.114.9106.4107.5
opponent14.814.9108.0106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM16.118.613.414.715.6
IND13.413.514.317.414.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew Harrison560.00-0.500.50-0.238-182613.015.7-2.7321.814.17.74
Deyonta Davis560.00-0.500.50-0.238-182613.015.7-2.7321.814.17.74
Troy Daniels3028-0.01-0.490.48-0.4515-254013.816.4-2.6615.414.21.16
Chandler Parsons4141-0.18-0.320.150.12-100-1015.715.50.2113.615.3-1.64
Tony Allen5254-0.19-0.310.110.19-133-1614.916.4-1.5614.215.1-0.89
Marc Gasol6565-0.22-0.280.070.28-177-2415.415.9-0.4514.414.9-0.49
Toney Douglas3434-0.24-0.260.02-0.06-6-4-216.415.11.2315.014.40.62
Mike Conley6465-0.28-0.22-0.050.14-144-1815.715.50.2014.414.9-0.49
Vince Carter4747-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.19-3-7415.715.50.1814.414.8-0.41
Zach Randolph5353-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.13-7-3-415.415.8-0.4414.115.1-1.03
James Ennis III1819-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.10-8-2-617.415.22.2914.114.7-0.65
JaMychal Green6162-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.35-3-7416.613.72.8914.614.60.02

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lavoy Allen43420.380.120.270.1291813.715.3-1.5916.614.81.89
Rodney Stuckey28290.300.200.100.2719-813.615.0-1.3117.914.63.32
Monta Ellis46460.290.210.080.2037-415.413.81.6116.714.62.06
Glenn Robinson III27280.290.210.070.43-515-2013.315.1-1.7216.415.31.09
Rakeem Christmas27270.250.250.000.46-717-2413.315.1-1.7216.515.21.25
Paul George69670.210.29-0.07-0.2315-52015.113.31.7215.316.4-1.09
CJ Miles47460.210.29-0.08-0.2616-62213.915.2-1.2915.016.1-1.06
Myles Turner68670.210.29-0.09-0.2315-52015.312.92.4215.416.1-0.78
Jeff Teague65630.200.30-0.10-0.3318-82615.113.51.6114.916.9-2.03
Thaddeus Young51510.160.34-0.18-0.1912-21415.213.91.2915.016.2-1.23
Kevin Seraphin330.000.50-0.500.26-919-2812.014.7-2.667.715.8-8.18
Joe Young330.000.50-0.500.26-919-2812.014.7-2.667.715.8-8.18
Aaron Brooks330.000.50-0.500.26-919-2812.014.7-2.667.715.8-8.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 71, SAC 1070.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
SAC 101, GSW 1200.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.69,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
GSW 91, CHI 1050.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%