NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	91		Excitement	3.7 [1044]		MVP	Travis Best (CHI): +14.1%
Chicago Bulls	105		Comeback	1.6 [676]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): -10.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Dampier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	53%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.06	13	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	6	55%	0.02	2	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dean Oliver	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	15	48%	-0.01	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	-0.01	-0.07	11	46%	-0.01	5	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jason Richardson	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	13	39%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	13	21%	-0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	9	80%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	24	56%	0.07	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	87%	0.07	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	17	44%	0.05	5	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Guyton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	7	57%	-0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	25%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	9	41%	-0.03	3	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.7	27.1	15.7	25.2	2.4	22.7	118.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +50.2%

GSW -7.4%

CHI +12.0%

GSW -2.6%

GSW -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CHI	NBA	GSW	CHI	NBA
this game	14.3	14.8	15.6	92.9	105.0	102.3
season	14.7	15.6		100.7	96.3
opponent	15.6	15.1		105.5	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.0	16.4	13.7	14.2	14.3
CHI	15.2	14.3	14.0	15.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	56	57	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-17	20	14.4	14.1	0.38	14.6	15.1	-0.55
Dean Oliver	28	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-12	10	14.7	14.1	0.55	16.3	14.2	2.08
Erick Dampier	36	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.10	-10	-4	-6	13.7	14.6	-0.98	15.3	14.5	0.75
Troy Murphy	44	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-10	6	14.8	13.9	0.93	15.1	14.5	0.60
Danny Fortson	14	13	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-2	-10	15.5	14.1	1.42	14.7	14.8	-0.12
Larry Hughes	63	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.23	-17	3	-20	14.7	13.5	1.29	14.9	14.6	0.32
Antawn Jamison	53	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-4	-6	14.3	14.3	0.04	14.4	15.3	-0.97
Bob Sura	43	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-1	-12	15.3	13.5	1.89	14.6	15.0	-0.37
Jason Richardson	78	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.28	-1	-13	12	13.4	17.6	-4.16	14.8	15.0	-0.20
Gilbert Arenas	75	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-10	6	13.7	16.3	-2.64	14.4	16.1	-1.73

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	84	84	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.15	20	-6	26	14.4	16.7	-2.25	14.6	12.6	1.92
Marcus Fizer	54	55	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.05	13	1	12	14.7	14.9	-0.25	14.9	13.6	1.30
Travis Best	59	59	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	3	8	14.7	15.0	-0.26	14.9	13.4	1.50
Trenton Hassell	54	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	1	12	15.0	14.5	0.52	14.3	14.2	0.12
Charles Oakley	48	48	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	-2	18	14.7	14.9	-0.22	15.4	13.2	2.13
Fred Hoiberg	50	49	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.13	11	3	8	14.7	14.9	-0.28	15.2	13.4	1.84
Eddy Curry	52	50	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	16	-18	14.9	14.7	0.22	13.2	15.4	-2.13
A.J. Guyton	47	44	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.25	-5	19	-24	15.2	14.5	0.74	12.7	15.6	-2.91
Tyson Chandler	46	43	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	13	-12	14.9	14.7	0.25	13.6	14.9	-1.30
Dalibor Bagaric	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	22	-30	16.8	14.7	2.16	7.2	14.7	-7.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 94, UTA 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
CLE 75, CHI 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
ATL 92, SAC 117	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%