NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	94		Excitement	3.1 [1160]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +11.0%
Utah Jazz	117		Comeback	1.6 [890]		LVP	Marcus Williams (MEM): -8.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.01	15	53%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
O.J. Mayo	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	14	52%	0.06	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Sam Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	0.00	0.09	11	69%	0.02	3	-0.02	10	80%	-0.02
Steven Hunter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	1	57%	0.01	0	0.00	12	67%	-0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	9	39%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	4	50%	0.01	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	13	39%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.15	-0.00	-0.06	9	20%	-0.07	3	-0.02	2	50%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.00	0.03	10	83%	0.16	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.01	0.03	16	71%	0.12	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	8	78%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	9	68%	0.07	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	-0.05	10	55%	0.06	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	57%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	87%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	7	19%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	27.1	15.5	31.2	2.5	28.3	132.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +50.8%

UTA +1.3%

MEM -7.8%

UTA +5.8%

MEM -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	UTA	NBA	MEM	UTA	NBA
this game	14.8	14.6	15.3	96.9	118.2	106.0
season	15.4	15.3		106.8	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.0		104.5	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.4	19.0	14.2	11.1	14.8
UTA	16.3	14.6	13.0	14.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Hunter	32	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-29	35	10.4	17.0	-6.55	14.1	14.8	-0.76
DeMarre Carroll	32	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-27	31	12.0	16.2	-4.22	14.3	14.7	-0.45
Hasheem Thabeet	19	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-20	17	12.1	15.5	-3.45	13.9	14.8	-0.85
Marcus Williams	49	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-14	5	13.4	16.2	-2.82	14.0	15.1	-1.13
Mike Conley	48	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.15	-14	-9	-5	16.2	13.4	2.82	15.1	14.0	1.13
O.J. Mayo	68	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.30	-20	-3	-17	15.3	13.8	1.52	14.9	13.9	1.03
Rudy Gay	61	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.09	-15	-8	-7	16.4	12.2	4.23	14.9	14.0	0.92
Sam Young	59	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.23	-20	-3	-17	14.3	15.7	-1.41	13.7	15.9	-2.16
Zach Randolph	60	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.30	-23	0	-23	16.5	12.0	4.52	14.9	14.0	0.95
Marc Gasol	57	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.22	-21	-2	-19	16.3	12.7	3.66	15.1	14.0	1.10

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	56	55	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.02	13	10	3	14.4	14.8	-0.40	15.8	13.6	2.17
Carlos Boozer	49	50	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	10	3	14.9	14.2	0.70	15.9	13.7	2.22
Wesley Matthews	40	38	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.18	17	6	11	14.9	14.3	0.60	15.5	14.4	1.15
CJ Miles	66	67	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.30	21	2	19	14.4	14.9	-0.52	15.0	14.4	0.61
Mehmet Okur	46	45	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	12	-1	15.5	13.8	1.70	15.8	14.0	1.74
Paul Millsap	53	52	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.08	11	12	-1	13.9	15.4	-1.50	14.9	14.8	0.09
Sundiata Gaines	44	43	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.12	11	12	-1	14.6	14.6	0.00	13.8	15.6	-1.86
Ronnie Price	51	50	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	15	-7	14.3	14.8	-0.52	15.4	14.3	1.10
Kyrylo Fesenko	19	17	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	18	-13	13.7	14.8	-1.03	15.1	14.8	0.28
Ronnie Brewer	53	52	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	18	-13	14.5	14.7	-0.24	13.2	16.7	-3.44
Kyle Korver	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	24	-25	15.5	14.5	1.04	9.0	15.4	-6.42
Kosta Koufos	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	22	-21	15.7	14.5	1.29	9.1	15.3	-6.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 95, DAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
CLE 92, MIA 120	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
CLE 75, CHI 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%