NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	104		Excitement	7.4 [388]		MVP	Loren Woods (TOR): +14.3%
Utah Jazz	95		Comeback	3.1 [246]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -18.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Loren Woods	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.08	0.01	5	93%	0.17	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Chris Bosh	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.03	0.02	14	71%	0.15	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.04	-0.03	11	42%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Rafael Araujo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	12	46%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	18	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.04	0.02	7	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lamond Murray	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	7	37%	-0.07	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.05

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.04	8	78%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.03	0.00	12	71%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.05
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	11	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	15	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	11	82%	0.02
Curtis Borchardt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	41%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	6	36%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.07	0.01	7	14%	-0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	-0.02	11	35%	-0.10	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.6	24.6	15.7	28.4	2.0	26.3	124.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +50.3%

TOR +2.9%

TOR +1.1%

TOR +0.2%

UTA -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	UTA	NBA	TOR	UTA	NBA
this game	15.1	16.4	15.5	113.0	104.4	104.0
season	15.1	16.7		104.8	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.4		106.7	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	11.3	17.3	15.1	17.4	15.1
UTA	17.0	17.0	15.5	16.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	48	49	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.28	21	-12	33	14.2	16.0	-1.75	16.9	15.8	1.04
Loren Woods	50	49	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.21	15	-6	21	15.2	15.0	0.25	16.0	16.9	-0.86
Lamond Murray	41	40	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-4	17	16.9	13.6	3.27	16.9	16.0	0.90
Chris Bosh	57	58	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.20	15	-6	21	16.2	13.3	2.82	16.5	16.3	0.19
Morris Peterson	52	51	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	0	9	16.4	13.4	3.03	16.6	16.2	0.39
Rafael Araujo	8	7	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	5	-1	12.1	15.4	-3.24	14.9	16.5	-1.67
Matt Bonner	24	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.08	-4	13	-17	12.2	16.1	-3.89	16.6	16.3	0.31
Donyell Marshall	29	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	14	-19	15.4	14.9	0.48	17.0	16.1	0.89
Jalen Rose	51	51	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	13	-17	13.6	16.9	-3.27	16.0	16.9	-0.90
Vince Carter	56	55	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.08	-7	16	-23	14.2	16.5	-2.37	16.3	16.6	-0.26
Milt Palacio	44	42	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	-0.04	-12	21	-33	16.0	14.2	1.75	15.8	16.9	-1.04

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordan Giricek	50	50	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.01	6	-15	21	16.2	16.7	-0.52	13.1	17.5	-4.40
Kirk Snyder	4	6	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.06	4	-13	17	21.0	16.2	4.82	17.2	14.9	2.22
Kris Humphries	1	2	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.06	1	-10	11	15.0	16.4	-1.41	8.0	15.2	-7.24
Keith McLeod	55	56	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-12	15	15.5	17.7	-2.15	13.5	17.6	-4.10
Matt Harpring	48	48	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	-6	3	16.5	16.3	0.13	15.8	14.3	1.47
Curtis Borchardt	15	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-6	3	17.5	16.2	1.36	17.6	14.6	3.00
Jarron Collins	21	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-6	3	16.8	16.3	0.54	13.3	15.6	-2.27
Carlos Boozer	69	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-8	7	15.8	18.4	-2.60	14.3	17.8	-3.47
Mehmet Okur	38	38	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	-4	-1	16.7	16.2	0.45	15.1	15.1	-0.06
Howard Eisley	36	36	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.19	-12	3	-15	17.7	15.5	2.15	17.6	13.5	4.10
Raja Bell	47	46	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.24	-17	8	-25	16.4	16.3	0.11	17.0	13.2	3.87
Andrei Kirilenko	71	70	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.34	-15	6	-21	16.4	16.5	-0.20	15.6	13.5	2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.11,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 109, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.4,0.22,0.39,0.28,0.11,0.01,0	92.7%
LAC 94, HOU 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.11,0.01,0,0	92.4%
MIA 105, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.2,0.04,0.03,0.09,0	92.2%