NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	105		Excitement	7.5 [312]		MVP	Brent Barry (SEA): +14.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	98		Comeback	2.9 [242]		LVP	Caron Butler (MIA): -12.5%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wallace	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.09	0.02	0.07	0.00	4	75%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.01	13	64%	0.15	3	-0.09	7	57%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.02	10	69%	0.14	3	-0.09	9	89%	0.03
Brian Grant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.09	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.05
Rafer Alston	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	15	55%	0.07	5	-0.14	3	67%	-0.01
Udonis Haslem	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	10	58%	0.01	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Caron Butler	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	6	92%	0.20	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Ansu Sesay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	23	55%	0.11	3	-0.10	10	70%	-0.00
Richie Frahm	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	57%	-0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	5	40%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	54%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	11	45%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	17	42%	-0.07	1	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.6	31.2	15.8	24.0	1.8	34.2	135.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +37.2%

MIA +1.1%

MIA +32.8%

SEA -22.7%

MIA +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	SEA	NBA	MIA	SEA	NBA
this game	14.1	16.2	15.7	110.5	103.2	100.5
season	16.2	15.6		99.3	105.0
opponent	15.7	15.9		105.9	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	12.0	15.2	16.0	13.6	14.1
SEA	16.2	18.3	14.0	16.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	53	54	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.20	17	-10	27	13.8	14.6	-0.85	16.9	15.1	1.80
John Wallace	18	19	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.46	5	2	3	15.7	13.8	1.94	17.4	15.9	1.50
Lamar Odom	87	87	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-4	15	14.3	12.4	1.94	16.0	17.9	-1.86
Loren Woods	34	37	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	-2	11	15.7	13.3	2.43	16.4	16.0	0.34
Rafer Alston	47	48	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.25	0	7	-7	14.3	14.0	0.30	16.4	15.9	0.54
Brian Grant	61	58	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	9	-11	13.3	15.7	-2.43	16.0	16.4	-0.34
Dwyane Wade	70	69	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	6	-5	13.6	15.8	-2.24	15.8	17.2	-1.36
Bimbo Coles	10	9	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	6	-5	12.8	14.3	-1.51	17.2	16.1	1.16
Caron Butler	31	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	11	-15	15.4	13.6	1.79	14.8	16.8	-2.05
Udonis Haslem	64	64	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.07	-3	10	-13	14.0	14.5	-0.60	16.1	16.4	-0.28

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Ridnour	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-8	9	18.8	15.8	3.01	16.6	13.7	2.84
Richie Frahm	7	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-7	7	9.1	16.7	-7.58	8.0	14.6	-6.64
Calvin Booth	44	47	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-11	15	17.2	15.3	1.89	13.5	14.7	-1.22
Antonio Daniels	40	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.09	1	-8	9	17.0	15.6	1.44	14.3	14.0	0.26
Ansu Sesay	19	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-3	-1	16.0	16.2	-0.21	17.2	13.5	3.76
Reggie Evans	28	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-1	-5	18.4	15.3	3.10	14.3	14.1	0.28
Ronald Murray	74	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-3	-1	15.2	19.4	-4.19	13.5	16.1	-2.59
Vladimir Radmanovic	67	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-4	1	15.3	18.2	-2.95	14.1	14.3	-0.23
Rashard Lewis	82	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-5	3	16.2	16.0	0.20	13.4	19.2	-5.74
Jerome James	38	36	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	3	-13	16.2	16.1	0.11	16.3	12.8	3.52
Brent Barry	63	63	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.27	-12	5	-17	16.2	16.1	0.07	14.2	14.0	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.2,0.04,0.03,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 102, NOH 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.33,0.26,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	93.0%
NJN 108, DAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.39,0.07,0.04,0,0,0	92.8%
NJN 77, CLE 72	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.28,0.31,0.1,0.09,0.1,0	92.7%