NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	109		Excitement	7.4 [354]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +20.1%
Toronto Raptors	101		Comeback	5.0 [337]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): -9.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.12	0.01	18	58%	0.22	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.07	0.12	-0.01	14	56%	0.20	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Andrei Kirilenko	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.01	0.11	-0.01	14	47%	0.15	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.08
Kyle Korver	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.02	0.03	11	71%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Jarron Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	0.01	-0.09	0.01	17	54%	0.05	3	-0.15	1	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	-0.02	-0.03	13	67%	0.16	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.03	-0.00	21	57%	0.19	1	-0.11	11	91%	0.06
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	57%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Roko Leni Ukic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	10	64%	0.11	3	-0.12	5	80%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.07	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	11	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	10	40%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.6	25.3	18.8	28.1	3.4	33.5	136.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +3.3%

UTA +1.4%

UTA +1.0%

UTA +35.0%

UTA +9.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	TOR	NBA	UTA	TOR	NBA
this game	16.6	13.2	15.5	112.4	105.2	106.4
season	15.3	15.1		107.7	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.0		108.0	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.4	18.7	16.6	15.0	16.6
TOR	13.6	12.0	12.2	15.0	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	69	68	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.41	14	-6	20	16.1	17.9	-1.81	13.6	12.1	1.53
Mehmet Okur	82	81	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.32	13	-5	18	16.2	19.2	-3.03	13.5	11.5	2.04
Deron Williams	77	75	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.37	10	-2	12	16.5	17.3	-0.83	13.4	12.5	0.85
Andrei Kirilenko	54	53	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-4	16	16.1	17.4	-1.32	13.2	13.2	-0.04
Kyle Korver	66	64	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-2	12	16.8	16.4	0.37	13.4	12.8	0.61
CJ Miles	31	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	10	-12	16.4	16.8	-0.37	12.8	13.4	-0.61
Ronnie Brewer	55	56	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.07	-2	10	-12	16.7	16.5	0.20	13.0	13.5	-0.54
Brevin Knight	20	21	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.10	-2	10	-12	17.3	16.5	0.83	12.5	13.4	-0.85
Matt Harpring	21	20	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.05	-5	13	-18	19.7	15.8	3.92	12.0	13.5	-1.50
Jarron Collins	10	10	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.03	-8	16	-24	20.3	16.2	4.08	11.3	13.4	-2.11

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	24	22	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.07	3	-11	14	10.8	14.0	-3.19	17.9	16.3	1.58
Anthony Parker	75	74	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.10	5	-13	18	12.5	15.6	-3.11	16.6	16.7	-0.13
Roko Leni Ukic	1	2	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-5	2	43.0	12.9	30.13	14.0	16.7	-2.69
Jason Kapono	41	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-1	-6	12.6	13.6	-1.01	15.9	17.3	-1.40
Joey Graham	42	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-4	0	14.0	12.5	1.49	17.1	16.3	0.76
Shawn Marion	72	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	1	-10	13.3	13.0	0.31	16.8	16.0	0.78
Chris Bosh	80	81	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	1	-10	13.6	11.1	2.55	16.4	17.7	-1.33
Andrea Bargnani	71	73	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.38	-5	-3	-2	13.4	12.7	0.69	16.8	16.2	0.63
Jose Calderon	74	74	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.37	-11	3	-14	13.4	12.5	0.89	16.5	17.1	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.4,0.22,0.39,0.28,0.11,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 104, UTA 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.11,0.03,0,0	92.7%
LAL 99, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.07,0.05,0.01,0	92.2%
UTA 87, ATL 81	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.8,0.63,0.58,0.47,0.34,0.2,0.08,0.05,0.03,0	92.0%