NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	102		Excitement	6.0 [662]		MVP	Troy Hudson (MIN): +12.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Comeback	1.2 [527]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -39.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	11	64%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.05	-0.02	19	50%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
James Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	5	67%	0.06	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Gill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	87%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
David Harrison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07	-0.10	0.03	-0.00	22	45%	0.01	4	-0.09	5	80%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,-0.21	-0.04	-0.21	-0.04	17	47%	-0.15	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.08	0.01	10	60%	0.12	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.02	12	67%	0.10	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	5	82%	0.11	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08	-0.08	0.09	-0.14	0.04	15	66%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.4	-0.40	-0.16	-0.25	-0.01	21	39%	-0.38	1	-0.02	14	43%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	31.5	15.7	25.8	2.5	40.2	141.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +24.6%

IND +13.6%

IND +25.4%

MIN -17.7%

IND +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIN	NBA	IND	MIN	NBA
this game	17.6	13.9	15.5	112.1	109.8	104.0
season	16.8	15.8		101.9	106.2
opponent	15.9	15.5		104.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.9	15.4	21.4	17.1	17.6
MIN	14.4	15.2	12.9	12.9	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	83	82	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.38	7	-6	13	17.4	19.7	-2.33	13.5	16.6	-3.06
Jamaal Tinsley	65	64	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.40	0	1	-1	18.5	15.5	2.98	13.7	14.3	-0.60
Austin Croshere	53	53	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.47	-3	4	-7	16.2	19.6	-3.44	13.1	14.9	-1.83
Fred Jones	71	72	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.54	-10	11	-21	18.6	14.0	4.58	14.0	13.4	0.54
Jermaine O'Neal	60	62	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.24	-1	2	-3	18.4	16.0	2.42	14.7	12.1	2.58
James Jones	31	32	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	3	-5	16.3	18.3	-2.03	14.0	13.8	0.20
Scot Pollard	45	47	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.00	7	-6	13	18.9	16.3	2.59	14.1	13.6	0.53
David Harrison	21	20	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	-5	11	15.5	18.3	-2.80	13.4	14.0	-0.54
Eddie Gill	26	28	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	0	1	15.5	18.5	-2.98	14.3	13.7	0.60

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Carter	1	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	1	-3	0.0	14.0	-14.02	5.0	17.8	-12.77
Sam Cassell	52	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.19	2	-3	5	14.5	13.0	1.49	17.5	17.8	-0.25
Michael Olowokandi	38	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	3	-7	15.8	12.5	3.32	18.0	17.4	0.64
Eddie Griffin	23	22	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	6	-13	13.7	13.9	-0.29	18.6	17.3	1.27
Mark Madsen	10	10	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	11	-23	13.6	13.9	-0.30	12.4	18.3	-5.87
Trenton Hassell	66	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.55	9	-10	19	13.2	15.5	-2.22	17.4	18.1	-0.69
Wally Szczerbiak	71	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.44	4	-5	9	13.8	14.1	-0.35	16.9	20.2	-3.33
Kevin Garnett	79	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.56	8	-9	17	13.9	13.4	0.56	18.4	12.5	5.91
Troy Hudson	39	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	0	-1	13.4	14.2	-0.89	18.1	17.3	0.82
Latrell Sprewell	81	81	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	1	-3	13.6	16.2	-2.63	17.9	15.4	2.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.15,0.06,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 128, DAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
BOS 109, CHH 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.31,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.1,0,0	95.2%
PHI 106, CHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%