inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 109 Excitement3.6 [658] MVPKenny Anderson (BOS): +12.6%
Charlotte Hornets 99 Comeback1.1 [325] LVPDavid Wesley (CHH): -5.8%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenny Anderson0.130,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.130.130.010.021373%0.1300.00475%-0.01
Antoine Walker0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.080.010.01-0.051162%0.123-0.042100%0.01
Paul Pierce0.070,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.00-0.031266%0.092-0.02580%0.00
Tony Battie0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.070.06-0.00-0.01675%0.0700.00450%-0.03
Vitaly Potapenko0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.010.011070%0.093-0.0700%0.00
Dana Barros0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01373%0.031-0.01989%0.01
Ron Mercer0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.011064%0.062-0.042100%0.01
Bruce Bowen-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Greg Minor-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Elden Campbell0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.000.031077%0.082-0.04250%-0.01
Chuck Person0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.01658%0.0200.0000%0.00
Chucky Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.08-0.010.051262%0.0200.0000%0.00
Derrick Coleman0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00661%0.0200.00683%0.01
Corey Beck0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Eddie Jones0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03570%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0-0.000.04-0.020.02579%0.051-0.05475%-0.00
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.020.01965%0.033-0.06250%-0.02
Eldridge Recasner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.02944%-0.023-0.0300%0.00
David Wesley0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.001040%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.01.822.315.526.21.841.0134.7
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +34.1%
BOS +9.2%
CHH -1.9%
BOS +4.3%
BOS +4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSCHHNBABOSCHHNBA
this game16.816.515.8126.7113.899.6
season15.015.798.199.2
opponent15.515.899.4100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.116.121.516.216.8
CHH16.518.116.415.116.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antoine Walker78780.54-0.040.570.1513-31616.816.50.3116.516.7-0.17
Tony Battie35360.420.080.34-0.0516-62218.115.92.1613.818.5-4.67
Kenny Anderson60630.320.180.130.0591815.320.1-4.7817.115.02.15
Greg Minor36360.290.210.08-0.011001016.217.2-0.9613.218.8-5.62
Bruce Bowen22240.240.26-0.020.1246-217.216.60.5412.917.9-4.97
Paul Pierce60600.230.27-0.030.2019-817.415.32.1118.611.86.82
Ron Mercer54550.210.29-0.080.0946-216.317.6-1.3517.714.43.29
Dana Barros30280.180.32-0.130.1619-818.116.12.0314.317.6-3.24
Vitaly Potapenko55550.070.43-0.360.30-818-2616.816.80.0119.012.36.70

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Corey Beck2119-0.04-0.460.43-0.247-172415.316.9-1.5619.316.13.19
Eldridge Recasner3939-0.10-0.400.30-0.255-152015.817.1-1.2617.316.30.97
Brad Miller3533-0.12-0.380.26-0.244-141816.116.8-0.6317.516.31.19
Chuck Person4342-0.22-0.280.06-0.02-7-3-419.413.75.6916.317.3-1.01
Chucky Brown4746-0.22-0.280.05-0.220-101015.917.2-1.3116.417.2-0.88
Derrick Coleman4040-0.28-0.22-0.050.02-100-1017.215.91.3117.216.40.88
Ricky Davis5756-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.24-3-7414.919.6-4.6517.615.22.37
David Wesley4747-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.02-122-1417.615.22.3517.416.11.33
Elden Campbell5253-0.38-0.12-0.260.03-144-1816.816.10.6316.317.5-1.19
Eddie Jones5455-0.44-0.06-0.390.14-2010-3015.917.5-1.5114.620.7-6.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.31,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.1,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 96, MEM 840.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,096.2%
SAS 104, DET 870.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.9%
PHX 123, HOU 930.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%