NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	106		Excitement	3.9 [1034]		MVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): +8.3%
Chicago Bulls	85		Comeback	1.3 [436]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -12.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	8	74%	0.09	1	-0.00	3	0%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	21	61%	0.08	1	-0.02	12	92%	0.04
Aaron McKie	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	8	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.06	13	70%	0.02	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Willie Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	9	36%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Eric Snow	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.16	-0.01	-0.08	8	30%	-0.03	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	14	57%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	16	53%	0.08	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	11	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	12	42%	-0.04
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	4	75%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	7	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	5	17%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.16	-0.02	-0.06	10	21%	-0.09	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	30.5	16.5	29.2	2.4	29.3	134.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +23.4%

PHI +10.4%

PHI +2.1%

PHI +11.0%

PHI +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	16.8	15.2	15.7	117.8	94.4	100.5
season	16.2	15.2		96.7	94.6
opponent	15.4	15.8		101.3	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.1	16.4	17.0	16.8	16.8
CHI	16.4	13.6	16.5	14.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	66	68	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.34	29	-8	37	16.4	18.0	-1.64	15.8	13.4	2.43
Marc Jackson	51	50	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.22	20	1	19	16.6	17.1	-0.49	14.7	15.8	-1.08
Aaron McKie	50	51	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.14	16	5	11	17.4	16.0	1.44	14.9	15.6	-0.69
Samuel Dalembert	44	42	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.19	17	4	13	16.2	17.3	-1.08	14.2	16.0	-1.80
Kenny Thomas	45	47	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	11	-1	17.2	16.4	0.84	16.4	13.8	2.61
Glenn Robinson	68	69	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.03	9	12	-3	16.2	18.5	-2.25	14.5	17.5	-3.03
Eric Snow	59	58	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	20	-19	17.9	14.8	3.09	15.9	14.0	1.91
Derrick Coleman	39	40	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	20	-19	17.1	16.6	0.49	15.8	14.7	1.08
John Salmons	14	12	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	21	-21	16.6	16.8	-0.19	14.2	15.4	-1.19
Willie Green	6	5	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	19	-17	15.3	16.9	-1.57	14.0	15.3	-1.27
Kyle Korver	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	15.2	16.9	-1.62	13.2	15.3	-2.04
Amal McCaskill	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	15.2	16.9	-1.62	13.2	15.3	-2.04

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Linton Johnson	10	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-25	29	13.5	15.4	-1.91	15.7	16.9	-1.22
Tyson Chandler	27	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-15	9	15.3	15.2	0.08	17.1	16.7	0.39
Eddie Robinson	25	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-16	11	13.0	16.0	-3.05	17.0	16.7	0.29
Kirk Hinrich	48	50	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.16	-11	-10	-1	13.4	17.2	-3.82	17.1	16.4	0.63
Kendall Gill	40	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.14	-1	-20	19	13.8	16.3	-2.48	16.3	17.2	-0.89
Eddy Curry	69	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	-11	1	15.0	15.8	-0.80	17.0	16.3	0.67
Lonny Baxter	43	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-14	7	16.0	14.4	1.58	17.5	16.2	1.27
Donyell Marshall	32	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-9	-3	17.7	13.8	3.86	17.8	16.3	1.49
Corie Blount	41	43	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.20	-19	-2	-17	14.6	15.7	-1.08	16.1	17.4	-1.35
Jamal Crawford	55	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	-4	-13	16.8	12.7	4.07	16.4	17.3	-0.89
Jalen Rose	60	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.22	-21	0	-21	16.0	13.7	2.30	16.5	17.3	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 109, OKC 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
DET 117, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
SAC 97, SAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.13,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%