inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 97 Excitement3.9 [1061] MVPMike Bibby (SAC): +13.1%
San Antonio Spurs 87 Comeback1.6 [401] LVPBrad Miller (SAC): -9.1%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Bibby0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.080.00-0.052158%0.132-0.001191%0.04
Metta World Peace0.060,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.01-0.031262%0.093-0.0300%0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.01-0.001553%0.0600.0000%0.00
Kevin Martin0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.01-0.02950%0.0500.0000%0.00
Bonzi Wells0.040,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.080.010.051370%0.113-0.071100%0.01
Jason Hart-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kenny Thomas-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.01-0.01540%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Brad Miller-0.090,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.130.00-0.04430%-0.005-0.09250%-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.01-0.01575%0.082-0.026100%0.03
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.05-0.000.03675%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.00-0.03939%0.0100.0000%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Melvin Sanders0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.01350%-0.0000.00250%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.0210%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.010.03764%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.01844%-0.022-0.022100%0.01
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.010.011353%0.023-0.064100%0.01
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.020.01844%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.010.00946%-0.013-0.06683%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.23.531.317.727.03.830.2139.7
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +39.0%
SAS -1.6%
SAC +9.7%
SAC +1.0%
SAC +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACSASNBASACSASNBA
this game16.315.315.6105.496.7104.4
season15.316.3104.7106.0
opponent15.615.599.4103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC16.214.215.819.316.3
SAS15.115.816.214.015.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Bibby88860.52-0.020.540.1114-41815.826.7-10.9215.512.23.23
Metta World Peace82790.440.060.390.2182616.514.71.8015.812.13.69
Kenny Thomas54550.380.120.27-0.0314-41815.916.8-0.8716.014.31.67
Brad Miller68650.380.120.270.2455016.615.51.0915.714.51.18
Bonzi Wells79760.360.140.220.1573415.819.2-3.3215.414.90.48
Kevin Martin39380.280.220.060.0773415.616.8-1.1514.416.0-1.67
Shareef Abdur-Rahim46460.150.35-0.210.18-111-1217.315.32.0414.316.4-2.15
Jason Hart45-0.020.52-0.530.10-414-1826.715.810.9210.215.6-5.44

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Melvin Sanders1212-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-172412.415.8-3.3719.115.93.20
Fabricio Oberto1212-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-172412.415.8-3.3719.115.93.20
Nick Van Exel2323-0.06-0.440.37-0.246-162213.815.9-2.0217.116.01.10
Rasho Nesterovic2221-0.13-0.370.23-0.161-111213.216.0-2.7916.516.30.22
Bruce Bowen5153-0.17-0.330.15-0.09-3-7415.814.71.0416.715.80.84
Nazr Mohammed4849-0.19-0.310.12-0.07-4-6216.613.92.7217.015.51.58
Tony Parker5558-0.23-0.270.05-0.05-6-4-216.014.21.8116.216.5-0.31
Tim Duncan5760-0.25-0.250.01-0.01-8-2-615.814.61.1516.515.90.66
Michael Finley4546-0.32-0.18-0.140.03-122-1414.616.0-1.3815.317.3-2.04
Robert Horry2726-0.34-0.16-0.180.07-144-1815.515.30.2614.816.9-2.14
Manu Ginobili4952-0.39-0.11-0.270.02-144-1816.513.92.5815.217.7-2.51
Brent Barry4948-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.12-100-1014.816.0-1.2216.116.5-0.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.13,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 106, CHI 850.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.7%
MIL 112, CHA 920.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.24,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.5%
MIA 114, IND 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%