inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 109 Excitement3.8 [1055] MVPShawn Marion (DAL): +12.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder 86 Comeback1.4 [272] LVPCaron Butler (OKC): -5.4%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shawn Marion0.130,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.090.050.011273%0.172-0.04250%-0.01
Jose Calderon0.120,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.100.01-0.011173%0.131-0.0100%0.00
Devin Harris0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.00-0.04662%0.081-0.001100%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.02-0.011263%0.112-0.043100%0.01
Samuel Dalembert0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.010.024100%0.082-0.032100%0.01
Vince Carter0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.11-0.000.071264%0.0400.004100%0.01
Brandan Wright0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.01667%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Bernard James0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wayne Ellington0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.041100%0.0030.0000%0.00
Shane Larkin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.021100%0.0020.0000%0.00
Jae Crowder-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.0220%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Monta Ellis-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01745%0.002-0.03683%0.01
DeJuan Blair-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.08-0.00-0.0410%-0.022-0.0220%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.01-0.042059%0.184-0.081191%0.04
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.00865%0.063-0.05475%0.01
Hasheem Thabeet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mustafa Shakur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05217%0.0010.00250%-0.00
Andre Roberson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02333%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Perry Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02550%0.012-0.0220%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.01540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.000.021945%-0.0200.00475%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.06-0.00-0.03125%0.002-0.02250%-0.01
Steven Adams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00525%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Caron Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.021035%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.32.627.215.429.81.726.3130.4
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +50.9%
DAL +0.7%
OKC -7.3%
DAL +5.1%
DAL +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALOKCNBADALOKCNBA
this game16.014.315.1113.591.5105.2
season15.314.4109.0107.8
opponent15.415.0102.9107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL15.416.515.516.716.0
OKC15.314.813.913.314.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jose Calderon59590.480.020.45-0.051851315.816.3-0.4414.214.5-0.34
Shawn Marion60600.450.050.39-0.081851315.417.0-1.5614.713.61.11
Vince Carter36380.370.130.25-0.302302316.715.61.0716.113.13.08
Samuel Dalembert42420.240.26-0.03-0.03914-515.616.3-0.7214.014.5-0.45
Dirk Nowitzki61580.230.27-0.04-0.091112-116.614.91.6614.214.4-0.24
Monta Ellis61610.230.27-0.050.05617-1116.015.90.0914.314.3-0.01
Brandan Wright37340.210.29-0.09-0.291761117.515.12.4615.713.52.16
Devin Harris39370.200.30-0.09-0.291761117.315.12.1615.813.32.54
DeJuan Blair19190.060.44-0.380.09-124-2514.216.5-2.3012.314.8-2.55
Jae Crowder34310.050.45-0.41-0.07419-1516.615.70.9114.114.4-0.35
Bernard James10100.000.50-0.500.09-326-2912.816.4-3.5710.114.8-4.70
Wayne Ellington12110.000.50-0.500.03-124-2513.716.3-2.6710.314.8-4.56
Shane Larkin10100.000.50-0.500.09-326-2912.816.4-3.5710.114.8-4.70

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hasheem Thabeet1414-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-232311.914.7-2.8713.616.4-2.84
Mustafa Shakur1414-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-232311.914.7-2.8713.616.4-2.84
Perry Jones3837-0.10-0.400.290.13-8-15714.214.4-0.2316.315.80.44
Nick Collison3535-0.11-0.390.270.15-9-14516.113.22.8917.115.41.66
Andre Roberson4850-0.17-0.330.160.00-6-171113.615.1-1.5015.017.1-2.17
Jeremy Lamb2222-0.19-0.310.110.04-8-15714.314.3-0.0314.916.3-1.47
Reggie Jackson6264-0.21-0.290.090.12-11-12113.815.3-1.4916.415.11.31
Serge Ibaka6465-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.01-9-14513.915.1-1.2316.215.50.67
Caron Butler4041-0.29-0.21-0.070.18-16-7-915.813.22.5717.514.92.64
Steven Adams2426-0.29-0.21-0.080.01-10-13314.614.20.3814.416.6-2.22
Kevin Durant6668-0.43-0.07-0.350.04-16-7-914.114.8-0.6916.016.00.00
Derek Fisher4344-0.44-0.06-0.380.20-22-1-2115.513.32.1516.815.31.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 87, BOS 680.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%
PHI 106, CHI 850.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
VAN 112, LAC 900.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%