NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	87		Excitement	3.6 [653]		MVP	Dennis Scott (MIN): +7.6%
Boston Celtics	68		Comeback	1.1 [408]		LVP	Ron Mercer (BOS): -16.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Scott	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	17	58%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Joe Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.10	9	42%	0.03	1	0.00	6	33%	-0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	8	53%	0.03	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	9	45%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	20	52%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Brian Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrae Patterson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Bill Curley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	4	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.01
Sam Mitchell	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	10	38%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	11	62%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Marlon Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	80%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Dwayne Schintzius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	6	64%	0.01	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	0.04	3	67%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.21	-0.01	-0.09	14	19%	-0.11	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.21	-0.01	-0.06	15	20%	-0.08	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-0.02	20	32%	-0.10	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	26.4	14.7	23.3	1.8	26.3	118.2
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +44.2%

BOS -8.7%

BOS -9.2%

MIN +23.9%

BOS -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	BOS	NBA	MIN	BOS	NBA
this game	15.3	15.7	15.8	93.5	73.1	99.6
season	15.0	15.0		98.6	98.1
opponent	15.8	15.9		100.0	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.7	14.7	15.7	14.1	15.3
BOS	13.3	15.3	17.0	17.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Scott	67	69	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.19	23	-4	27	15.3	15.2	0.11	15.8	15.4	0.38
Kevin Garnett	68	68	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.04	16	3	13	15.8	13.9	1.90	15.1	17.2	-2.17
Terrell Brandon	49	48	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.06	9	10	-1	16.7	13.8	2.88	14.6	16.7	-2.09
Bill Curley	47	47	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.26	20	-1	21	14.4	16.3	-1.88	18.3	12.9	5.43
Sam Mitchell	63	60	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.07	13	6	7	16.5	12.9	3.61	15.5	16.0	-0.53
Reggie Jordan	46	48	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	12	-5	13.7	16.9	-3.11	16.1	15.2	0.93
Joe Smith	51	53	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.17	12	7	5	14.8	16.0	-1.17	16.6	14.4	2.12
Bobby Jackson	44	45	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.12	10	9	1	13.8	16.7	-2.88	16.7	14.6	2.09
Dean Garrett	15	15	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	19	-19	15.0	15.4	-0.37	13.5	16.1	-2.61
Brian Evans	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	17.8	15.2	2.63	5.7	16.1	-10.35
Andrae Patterson	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	17.8	15.2	2.63	5.7	16.1	-10.35
Tom Hammonds	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	17.8	15.2	2.63	5.7	16.1	-10.35

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwayne Schintzius	2	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.04	1	-20	21	15.5	15.7	-0.16	13.5	15.4	-1.85
Marlon Garnett	9	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-15	11	16.6	15.6	1.00	16.4	15.2	1.25
Bruce Bowen	24	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.09	-1	-18	17	13.6	16.4	-2.74	14.2	15.7	-1.55
Greg Minor	17	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-16	13	12.8	16.3	-3.54	13.8	15.7	-1.90
Kenny Anderson	56	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.28	-16	-3	-13	15.8	15.5	0.28	14.8	16.1	-1.23
Dana Barros	28	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.23	1	-20	21	15.1	15.9	-0.73	15.9	15.0	0.88
Tony Battie	42	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-13	7	14.2	16.8	-2.63	16.1	14.7	1.39
Vitaly Potapenko	64	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	-7	-5	15.8	15.3	0.45	14.5	17.2	-2.75
Ron Mercer	76	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.13	-16	-3	-13	16.3	12.8	3.54	15.7	13.8	1.90
Paul Pierce	69	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.14	-18	-1	-17	16.4	13.6	2.74	15.7	14.2	1.55
Antoine Walker	78	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.18	-21	2	-23	16.3	12.2	4.12	15.7	13.5	2.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 110, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
ORL 104, CHA 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
DAL 109, OKC 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%